Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 15

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday


	Os Marialvas		Elvas

	1	X	2
	4.4	3	1.77
	4.7	3.05	1.8
	4.85	3.13	1.75
	4.7	3.05	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↑ (3.21)	3.06 ↑ (2.96)	1.78 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Os Marialvas
19.4%

Draw
29.6%

Elvas
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

30.5%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

29.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Os Marialvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Os Marialvas's form might have worsened.

Elvas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elvas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Os Marialvas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elvas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Os Marialvas - Elvas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, ⚽,
33', 1 - 2, ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 2, (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Os Marialvas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
12.01.25	Fatima - Os Marialvas	4:0 ✺
05.01.25	Pero Pinheiro - Os Marialvas	0:1 ✺
15.12.24	Os Marialvas - Alverca B	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Sertanense - Os Marialvas	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	Os Marialvas - União de Coimbra	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWTTW
- O Elvas CAD
Taça de Portugal
12.01.25	Elvas - Vitoria Guimarães	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
05.01.25	Elvas - Arronches Benfica	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Elvas - Mortágua	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Pombal - Elvas	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Fatima - Elvas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
25.08.24	Elvas - Os Marialvas	2:0

Os Marialvas - Elvas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide