Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 12

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday


	Os Marialvas		Alverca B

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.6
	1.92	3.2	3.7
	2	3.16	3.51
	1.92	3.2	3.77
	1.92	3.2	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.85)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	3.66 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Os Marialvas
46.8%

Draw
28.5%

Alverca B
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

28.5%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

27.4%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Os Marialvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Alverca B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca B than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Os Marialvas - Alverca B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 🟥,
36', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 🟥,
90+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Os Marialvas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
08.12.24	Sertanense - Os Marialvas	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	Os Marialvas - União de Coimbra	4:1 ✺
10.11.24	Marinhense - Os Marialvas	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Os Marialvas - Peniche	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	SB Castelo Branco - Os Marialvas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWLWW
- Alverca B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
08.12.24	Alverca B - Mortágua	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	Arronches Benfica - Alverca B	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Alverca B - Elvas	1:3 ✺
03.11.24	Fatima - Alverca B	3:0 ✺
27.10.24	Alverca B - Pero Pinheiro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW

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