Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 10

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Arroyo		Coria

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.25	1.85
	4.12	3.22	1.79
	4.12	3.22	1.79
	3.82	3.28	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.51)	3.24 ↑ (3.11)	1.83 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arroyo
23%

Draw
27.7%

Coria
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

28.6%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

28.7%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arroyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coria than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

Arroyo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Coria is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Coria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Coria will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Arroyo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Arroyo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arroyo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
29.10.23	Calamonte - Arroyo	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	Arroyo - Don Álvaro	2:1 ✺
15.10.23	Racing Valverdeño - Arroyo	0:1 ✺
12.10.23	Arroyo - Azuaga	0:2 ✺
08.10.23	Villafranca - Arroyo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWWLW
- CD Coria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
01.11.23	Jerez - Coria	2:2 ✺
29.10.23	Coria - Olivenza	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Coria - Montehermoso	1:1 ✺
12.10.23	Jaraíz - Coria	2:2 ✺
08.10.23	Coria - Trujillo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
13.09.19	Arroyo - Coria	0:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
18.02.18	Coria - Arroyo	2:3

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