Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 17

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday


	Calamonte		Arroyo

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.1	3.75
	1.92	3.35	3.6
				Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.67
	1.87	3.35	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.51)	3.28 ↓ (3.75)	3.69 ↓ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calamonte
47.9%

Draw
27.6%

Arroyo
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

24.2%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

16.3%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calamonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Calamonte's form might have worsened.

Arroyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arroyo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calamonte than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Calamonte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Calamonte - Arroyo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Calamonte will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Cortes Gallego K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Calamonte
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
21.12.24	Llerenense - Calamonte	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Calamonte - Olivenza	2:0 ✺
11.12.24	Calamonte - Villafranca	1:3 ✺
08.12.24	Jerez - Calamonte	3:1 ✺
01.12.24	Calamonte - Santa Amalia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL
- Arroyo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
22.12.24	Arroyo - Montijo	1:2 ✺
14.12.24	Villafranca - Arroyo	4:0 ✺
07.12.24	Arroyo - Moralo	2:3 ✺
01.12.24	Diocesano - Arroyo	0:0 ✺
24.11.24	Arroyo - Azuaga	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
17.03.24	Arroyo - Calamonte	1:3
29.10.23	Calamonte - Arroyo	0:0
06.04.23	Calamonte - Arroyo	2:1
11.12.22	Arroyo - Calamonte	0:0
06.02.22	Calamonte - Arroyo	2:1
03.10.21	Arroyo - Calamonte	0:2
22.09.19	Calamonte - Arroyo	0:1

Calamonte - Arroyo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide