Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 8

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Arroyo		Plasencia

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.3	5
	1.83	2.9	3.85
	1.62	3.15	5
	1.63	3.28	5.35
	1.54	3.66	5.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.59)	3.26 ↓ (3.67)	4.97 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arroyo
54.4%

Draw
27.5%

Plasencia
18%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.8%

24.2%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

21.2%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arroyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Plasencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arroyo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plasencia than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Arroyo - Plasencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Arroyo will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Arroyo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Plasencia has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Arroyo is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arroyo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Arroyo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arroyo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
23.10.22	Trujillo - Arroyo	1:0 ✺
16.10.22	Arroyo - Don Álvaro	3:2 ✺
09.10.22	Azuaga - Arroyo	3:1 ✺
02.10.22	Arroyo - Llerenense	0:0 ✺
18.09.22	Arroyo - Olivenza	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLTL
- UP Plasencia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
23.10.22	Plasencia - Montehermoso	0:1 ✺
16.10.22	Trujillo - Plasencia	1:0 ✺
09.10.22	Plasencia - Villafranca	0:1 ✺
02.10.22	Don Álvaro - Plasencia	2:2 ✺
25.09.22	Plasencia - Calamonte	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
23.01.22	Plasencia - Arroyo	0:0
18.04.21	Arroyo - Plasencia	1:2
27.03.21	Plasencia - Arroyo	2:1
23.02.20	Arroyo - Plasencia	1:0
06.10.19	Plasencia - Arroyo	1:0

Arroyo - Plasencia