Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 21

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday


	Arroyo		Llerenense

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.6	1.53
	5.6	3.6	1.55
	5.84	3.55	1.53
	6.06	3.63	1.55	Watch
	5.18	3.42	1.71
	5.6	3.6	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.59 ↓ (6.23)	3.57 ↓ (4)	1.57 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arroyo
16.3%

Draw
25.6%

Llerenense
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

22.7%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

22%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arroyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llerenense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arroyo - Llerenense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 1 - 0, Alvarez I. (Pen),
30', 1 - 1, Martinez D. ⚽,
45', 1 - 2, Cordero A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
53', 1 - 3, Sanchez R. ⚽,
64', 1 - 4, Calvo Tardio J. A. ⚽,
78', 1 - 5, Sanchez V. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arroyo won 1.

Arroyo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Llerenense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Arroyo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Llerenense is indisputable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Arroyo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.7:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Arroyo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arroyo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
02.02.25	Olivenza - Arroyo	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Arroyo - Jerez	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Santa Amalia - Arroyo	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Calamonte - Arroyo	0:1 ✺
22.12.24	Arroyo - Montijo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TLLWL
- AD Llerenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
01.02.25	Llerenense - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Llerenense - Olivenza	3:0 ✺
19.01.25	Jerez - Llerenense	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Santa Amalia - Llerenense	0:1 ✺
21.12.24	Llerenense - Calamonte	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
29.09.24	Llerenense - Arroyo	1:0
05.02.23	Llerenense - Arroyo	1:0
02.10.22	Arroyo - Llerenense	0:0
27.02.22	Arroyo - Llerenense	2:1
24.10.21	Llerenense - Arroyo	1:1
18.04.19	Arroyo - Llerenense	1:1

Arroyo - Llerenense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide