Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 9

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Akademii Arsenal (Tula)


	Arsenal 2 Tula		Dynamo Bryansk

	1	X	2
	4.09	3.8	1.56
	4.54	4.34	1.62	Watch
	4	3.66	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.21 ↑ (4)	3.93 ↑ (3.66)	1.55 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal 2 Tula
20.9%

Draw
22.4%

Dynamo Bryansk
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

22.8%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

21.9%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Arsenal 2 Tula have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Dynamo Bryansk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal 2 Tula than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Bryansk than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Arsenal 2 Tula - Dynamo Bryansk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Kashintsev T. (G) 43. Boychenko M. 53. Grigoriev D. 40. Khodeev P. 52. Kuzin A. 73. Ladin G. 48. Lychagin A. 32. Parsegov B. 55. Pyatibratov D. 50. Sokolov I. 57. Stavtsev M.	1. Akmurzin T. (G) 10. Drogunov V. 30. Golovko D. 25. Medvedev A. 4. Osokin D. 21. Rapakov I. 18. Shalaev O. 8. Sidorenko K. 22. Timakov R. 17. Volovich K. 19. Yamangulov A.
Substitutes
38. Badin G. 61. Belyanin A. 65. Burganov S. 47. Gigolaev D. 35. Kholin M. (G) 66. Kim T. 56. Kolyshev A. 69. Kozin M. 95. Mukhin A. 37. Panov G. 67. Sokolovskiy S.	6. Alekhin N. 23. Efimchuk A. 13. Ermakov A. A. (G) 5. Ermilov V. 9. Khalilov H. 27. Khrebtov A. Y. 15. Novikov A. 20. Pikatov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Parsegov B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Shalaev O. ⚽,
59', Stavtsev M. ↓, Kim T. ↑,
62', Medvedev A. ↓, Novikov A. ↑,
62', Timakov R. ↓, Alekhin N. ↑,
62', Rapakov I. ↓, Pikatov D. ↑,
63', Golovko D. 🟨,
70', Volovich K. ↓, Efimchuk A. ↑,
72', Parsegov B. ↓, Kolyshev A. ↑,
72', Lychagin A. ↓, Kozin M. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Kolyshev A. ⚽,
81', Pyatibratov D. 🟨,
82', Alekhin N. 🟨,
87', Grigoriev D. ↓, Panov G. ↑,
87', Boychenko M. ↓, Gigolaev D. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal 2 Tula won 1.

Arsenal 2 Tula is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Dynamo Bryansk has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Dynamo Bryansk is a strong favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Arsenal 2 Tula won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 3:20. (average 0.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal 2 Tula won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.4:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal 2 Tula
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
17.05.25	Strogino Moskva - Arsenal 2 Tula	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Dinamo Saint Petersburg - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Arsenal 2 Tula - Metallurg Lipetsk	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Rotor 2 - Arsenal 2 Tula	3:1 ✺
20.04.25	Arsenal 2 Tula - Zenit Penza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLLL
- Dynamo Bryansk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
17.05.25	Dynamo Bryansk - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Metallurg Lipetsk - Dynamo Bryansk	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Dynamo Bryansk - Rotor 2	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Zenit Penza - Dynamo Bryansk	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Dynamo Bryansk - Salyut Belgorod	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 3
13.11.22	Arsenal 2 Tula - Dynamo Bryansk	1:2
16.07.22	Dynamo Bryansk - Arsenal 2 Tula	4:0
04.11.21	Arsenal 2 Tula - Dynamo Bryansk	0:4
04.09.21	Dynamo Bryansk - Arsenal 2 Tula	1:0
Russian PFL Center
14.05.17	Arsenal 2 Tula - Dynamo Bryansk	1:0
25.08.16	Dynamo Bryansk - Arsenal 2 Tula	5:0
25.10.15	Arsenal 2 Tula - Dynamo Bryansk	0:1

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