Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 10

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday


	Arsenal 2 Tula		Zenit Penza

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.44	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.93)	3.44 (3.44)	3.45 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal 2 Tula
47.3%

Draw
26.4%

Zenit Penza
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.4%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

25.5%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal 2 Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Zenit Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal 2 Tula than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenit Penza than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Arsenal 2 Tula - Zenit Penza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Egorov E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 1 - 1, Gusarov D. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal 2 Tula won 0.

Arsenal 2 Tula has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zenit Penza is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Zenit Penza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Arsenal 2 Tula could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Arsenal 2 Tula won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal 2 Tula won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Penza	26	7	4	15	25:48	-23	25
14	Arsenal Tula 2	26	2	10	14	20:47	-27	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal 2 Tula
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
24.05.26	Saturn Ramenskoye - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Strogino Moskva - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - SKA Khabarovsk 2	5:4 ✺
02.05.26	Shumbrat Saransk - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Spartak Tambov	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 LLWWT
- Zenit Penza
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
23.05.26	Zenit Penza - Strogino Moskva	1:0 ✺
15.05.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Zenit Penza	5:0 ✺
08.05.26	Zenit Penza - Shumbrat Saransk	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Spartak Tambov - Zenit Penza	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Zenit Penza - Avangard Kursk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
09.08.25	Zenit Penza - Arsenal 2 Tula	1:1
20.04.25	Arsenal 2 Tula - Zenit Penza	0:1
20.10.24	Arsenal 2 Tula - Zenit Penza	0:2
01.07.24	Zenit Penza - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:2
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
21.05.23	Arsenal 2 Tula - Zenit Penza	1:2
14.11.21	Zenit Penza - Arsenal 2 Tula	1:5
14.09.21	Arsenal 2 Tula - Zenit Penza	1:0

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