Match Info

Date: 28 May 2022, Saturday


	Arsenal 2 Tula		Metallurg Vidnoe

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.78	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.68)	3.78 ↓ (3.96)	3.13 ↓ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal 2 Tula
46.4%

Draw
24.3%

Metallurg Vidnoe
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

23.4%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

24%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal 2 Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal 2 Tula's form might have worsened.

Metallurg Vidnoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metallurg Vidnoe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal 2 Tula than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal 2 Tula, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Vidnoe than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metallurg Vidnoe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Arsenal 2 Tula is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Metallurg Vidnoe is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arsenal 2 Tula could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arsenal 2 Tula is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arsenal 2 Tula won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal 2 Tula
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
14.05.22	Arsenal 2 Tula - Saturn Ramenskoye	2:2
07.05.22	Krasnoye Znamya - Arsenal 2 Tula	4:1 ✺
30.04.22	Arsenal 2 Tula - Kolomna	0:1 ✺
22.04.22	Metallurg Vidnoe - Arsenal 2 Tula	3:1 ✺
16.04.22	Arsenal 2 Tula - Kvant Obninsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLT
- Metallurg Vidnoe
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
08.05.22	Fakel Voronezh 2 - Metallurg Vidnoe	0:2 ✺
29.04.22	Metallurg Vidnoe - Sakhalin	2:1 ✺
22.04.22	Metallurg Vidnoe - Arsenal 2 Tula	3:1 ✺
16.04.22	Zenit Penza - Metallurg Vidnoe	1:1 ✺
11.04.22	Metallurg Vidnoe - Kaluga	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 3
22.04.22	Metallurg Vidnoe - Arsenal 2 Tula	3:1

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