Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 24

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Arsenal 2 Tula		Kvant Obninsk

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.87	6.15
	1.62	3.6	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.9)	3.74 ↑ (3.56)	5.18 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal 2 Tula
58.2%

Draw
24.3%

Kvant Obninsk
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

25.5%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

25%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal 2 Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arsenal 2 Tula's performance.

Kvant Obninsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kvant Obninsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal 2 Tula than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal 2 Tula that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kvant Obninsk than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kvant Obninsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arsenal 2 Tula - Kvant Obninsk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal 2 Tula (votes: 2 - 50%). Kvant (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sangare D. (G) 57. Demchenko Y. 68. Faleev V. 47. Gigolaev D. 79. Izotov R. 20. Khabibov A. 91. Knyazev E. 56. Kolyshev A. 69. Kozin M. 73. Ladin G. 95. Obryvkov S.	16. Yakovlev V. (G) 23. Bastrykin A. 30. Chaplygin A. 10. Demidov A. 3. Demin D. 26. Dragoy V. S. 4. Ivanushkin L. 35. Ositsin A. 20. Sadovskiy D. 13. Yuldashev A. 21. Zenkevich E.
Substitutes
24. Azyavin I. 38. Badin G. 61. Belyanin A. 19. Bogdanets K. 43. Boychenko M. 65. Burganov S. 92. Isaev A. 48. Lychagin A. 46. Moskalenchik I. 37. Panov G. 75. Sergejev M. 34. Sidorov E. (G)	19. Baranov N. 32. Bobrov K. 22. Djumaev A. 8. Lobanov D. 2. Merkulov I. 1. Poberezhnyi N. (G) 9. Shcherbiy N. 31. Timchenko M. 11. Volkov M. 7. Zakharov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Demin D. 🟨,
22', Zenkevich E. ↓, Timchenko M. ↑,
30', Bastrykin A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kozin M. ↓, Lychagin A. ↑,
46', Ladin G. ↓, Bogdanets K. ↑,
46', Kolyshev A. ↓, Azyavin I. ↑,
46', Gigolaev D. ↓, Moskalenchik I. ↑,
51', Chaplygin A. ↓, Zakharov S. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Izotov R. (Pen),
62', Lychagin A. 🟨,
72', Obryvkov S. ↓, Isaev A. ↑,
73', Bastrykin A. ↓, Lobanov D. ↑,
73', Yakovlev V. ↓, Poberezhnyi N. ↑,
74', Ositsin A. ↓, Shcherbiy N. ↑,
81', Izotov R. 🟨,
85', Lobanov D. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal 2 Tula won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Arsenal 2 Tula may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Arsenal 2 Tula could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Arsenal 2 Tula won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal 2 Tula won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal 2 Tula
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
13.09.25	Dynamo Bryansk - Arsenal 2 Tula	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Arsenal 2 Tula - Strogino Moskva	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Arsenal 2 Tula - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	2:4 ✺
24.08.25	Metallurg Lipetsk - Arsenal 2 Tula	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Arsenal 2 Tula - Rotor 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLLW
- Kvant Obninsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
16.09.25	Kvant Obninsk - Dinamo Saint Petersburg	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Metallurg Lipetsk - Kvant Obninsk	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Rotor 2 - Kvant Obninsk	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Zenit Penza - Kvant Obninsk	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Kvant Obninsk - Salyut Belgorod	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 40.7 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
31.05.25	Kvant Obninsk - Arsenal 2 Tula	1:1
08.09.24	Arsenal 2 Tula - Kvant Obninsk	2:0
26.05.24	Kvant Obninsk - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:1
29.07.23	Kvant Obninsk - Arsenal 2 Tula	0:0
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
09.11.22	Kvant Obninsk - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:1
16.04.22	Arsenal 2 Tula - Kvant Obninsk	1:1

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