Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 6

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Haradski Stadium (Barysaw)

Referee: Koronets P. (Blr)


	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk		Isloch Minsk

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	1.93
	5.14	3.6	1.75
	5	3.1	1.67
	5.69	3.36	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↑ (3.84)	3.29 ↑ (3.28)	1.76 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
19.2%

Draw
28.1%

Isloch Minsk
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

28.6%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

30%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's form might have worsened.

Isloch Minsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Isloch Minsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Isloch Minsk than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Isloch Minsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Soroko A. (G) 13. Oreshkevich I. 31. Zaleskiy A. 46. Vasilyev V. 2. Bozhko E. 26. Tkachenko V. 11. Lovets Y. 18. Volskiy D. 95. Vorobyov I. 33. Gorbachik V. 7. Mokin M.	1. Klimovich A. (G) 33. Skrobotov I. 3. Tikhomirov I. 25. Makarenko A. 15. Patsko N. 17. Abramishvili S. 7. Svirepa A. 99. Yudchits E. 19. Olaleye A. 10. Khvashchinskiy V. 8. Shramchenko A.
Substitutes
4. Akunets E. 90. Antilevskiy D. 8. Kaplenko N. 41. Lutik D. 34. Martinovich D. (G) 1. Sanko I. (G) 10. Sazonchik S. 99. Tolkachev I.	70. Butko A. 29. Khovalko I. 23. Kovalevich M. 14. Poluyanov A. 27. Popsa D. 22. Shevchenko P. 32. Shkurdyuk T. 11. Stalbekov N. 28. Svirskiy A. (G) 20. Veretilo O.
Coaches
Voronkov I.	Komarovskiy D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', Shramchenko A. ↓, Kovalevich M. ↑,
23', 1 - 0, Lovets Y. (Penalty Awarded),
24', 1 - 1, Svirepa A. ⚽, Makarenko A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Olaleye A. ↓, Butko A. ↑,
46', Khvashchinskiy V. ↓, Stalbekov N. ↑,
56', 1 - 2, Butko A. ⚽,
65', 2 - 2, Gorbachik V. ⚽,
65', 🟨,
66', Vorobyov I. ↓, Antilevskiy D. ↑,
70', Patsko N. ↓, Khovalko I. ↑,
74', Svirepa A. 🟨,
79', Bozhko E. ↓, Lutik D. ↑,
79', Gorbachik V. ↓, Tolkachev I. ↑,
79', Volskiy D. ↓, Sazonchik S. ↑,
87', Abramishvili S. ↓, Shevchenko P. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 3.

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Isloch has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Isloch will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Isloch	22	13	6	3	37:18	19	45
12	Arsenal Dzerzhinsk	23	5	8	10	24:41	-17	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
26.04.26	Torpedo-BelAZ - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	3:3 ✺
20.04.26	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Belshina	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Slavia Mozyr - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	1:1 ✺
03.04.26	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Naftan	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Minsk - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 TWTWT
- Isloch Minsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
26.04.26	Isloch Minsk - Dnyapro Mogilev	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Dinamo Minsk - Isloch Minsk	1:1 ✺
09.04.26	Isloch Minsk - Dinamo Brest	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	ML Vitebsk - Isloch Minsk	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Isloch Minsk - Baranovichi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
17.10.25	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Isloch Minsk	0:1
23.05.25	Isloch Minsk - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	4:0
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Isloch Minsk - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	0:1
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
23.08.24	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Isloch Minsk	3:1
13.04.24	Isloch Minsk - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	0:2
Belarusian Cup
29.07.23	Isloch Minsk - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	1:0
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
17.09.22	Isloch Minsk - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	2:1

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