Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 7

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday

Location: Stadyen Haradski (Dzerzhinsk)

Referee: Shumilov I. (Blr)


	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk		BATE Borisov

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.37	3.17	2.21
	3.1	3.1	2.2
	3.39	3.35	2.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↓ (4.72)	3.18 ↓ (3.7)	2.18 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
28.5%

Draw
29%

BATE Borisov
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

25.7%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

25.2%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's performance.

BATE Borisov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BATE Borisov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BATE Borisov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - BATE Borisov Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk will win (votes: 1 - 20%). BATE will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. BATE (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Soroko A. (G) 18. Mikhalenko A. 5. Vegerya R. 4. Vlasenko N. 15. Oreshkevich J. 8. Harutyunyan V. 6. Ishutin A. 63. Olimzoda F. 11. Lovets Y. (C) 9. Myalkovskiy R. 19. Frantsuzov A.	35. Skopets A. (G) 98. Svidinskiy M. 33. Sotnikov V. (C) 4. Martynov A. 19. Lyakh V. 9. Anufriev A. 7. Svirepa A. 68. Zhulpa D. 77. Kargbo I. 29. Charles Y. 27. Piletskiy R.
Substitutes
22. Atila 23. Irgashev S. 31. Polyanskiy D. (G) 1. Sanko I. (G) 10. Senko V. 7. Shvedchikov A. 51. Skshinetskiy A. 77. Sotnikov N. 99. Volkov K. 81. Yakushevich G.	28. Chernook K. 8. Costrov I. 17. Dongo D. 21. Kiselev V. 81. Martinovich D. (G) 25. Neskoromnyi N. 11. Prudnikov N. 23. Rashchenya I. 44. Shkondin A. 16. Sokol D. (G)
Coaches
Kubarev O.	Migal I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Zhulpa D. 🟨,
38', Oreshkevich J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Charles Y. ⚽, Piletskiy R. (A),
56', Anufriev A. 🟨,
58', Charles Y. ↓, Prudnikov N. ↑,
68', Ishutin A. ↓, Senko V. ↑,
68', Oreshkevich J. ↓, Volkov K. ↑,
77', Anufriev A. ↓, Chernook K. ↑,
77', Olimzoda F. ↓, Irgashev S. ↑,
77', Kargbo I. ↓, Kiselev V. ↑,
85', Lovets Y. ↓, Atila ↑,
85', Harutyunyan V. ↓, Skshinetskiy A. ↑,
90+2', Piletskiy R. ↓, Costrov I. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Vysshaya Liga (Relegation) and 5).

Recent form of Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

BATE has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

BATE is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
25.04.25	Slavia Mozyr - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Neman Grodno	0:3 ✺
12.04.25	Torpedo-BelAZ - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Smorgon	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	ML Vitebsk - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLLTT
- BATE Borisov
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
25.04.25	BATE Borisov - Slutsk	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Dinamo Minsk - BATE Borisov	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	BATE Borisov - Gomel	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Molodechno - BATE Borisov	0:1 ✺
28.03.25	BATE Borisov - Isloch Minsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
20.10.24	BATE Borisov - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	3:2
26.05.24	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - BATE Borisov	2:0
12.11.22	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - BATE Borisov	0:2
15.07.22	BATE Borisov - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	1:2

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