The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Torpedo-BelAZ 56.1%
Draw 25.1%
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 18.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.9%
22.4%
17.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.2%
21.9%
17.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Torpedo-BelAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo-BelAZ than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torpedo-BelAZ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Torpedo BelAZ - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ignatovich S. (G) 2. Bamba M. 8. Budko M. 19. Rutskiy I. 3. Chagovets Y. 68. Zhulpa D. 6. Premudrov K. (C) 30. Pobudey V. 89. Frantsuzov A. 7. Bykov A. 88. Mikhayrin M.
1. Sanko I. (G) 2. Bozhko E. 13. Oreshkevich I. 18. Volskiy D. 7. Mokin M. 33. Gorbachik V. 11. Lovets Y. (C) 41. Lutik D. 95. Vorobyov I. 77. Sotnikov N. 46. Vasilyev V.
Substitutes
16. Agbo G. 22. Baranok Z. 9. Batyshchev O. 27. Gaevoy M. 21. Kiselev V. 20. Martyanov G. 99. Maslenikov M. (G) 96. Melko V. 25. Yurasov T. (G) 13. Zaleskiy A.
4. Akunets E. 8. Kaplenko N. 10. Sazonchik S. 30. Soroko A. (G) 26. Tkachenko V. 16. Vaschenko A. (G) 31. Zaleskiy A.
Coaches
Lentsevich D.
Voronkov I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Mokin M. ⚽, Sotnikov N. (A),
13', Gorbachik V. 🟨,
30', Budko M. 🟨,
32', 0 - 2, Mokin M. ⚽,
35', Pobudey V. 🟨,
37', Sotnikov N. 🟨,
41', Voronkov I. 🟨,
44', Sotnikov N. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Frantsuzov A. ↓, Kiselev V. ↑,
52', 0 - 3, Vorobyov I. ⚽, Volskiy D. (A),
55', Kiselev V. 🟨,
57', Bozhko E. 🟨,
58', Lovets Y. 🟨,
61', Bamba M. ↓, Gaevoy M. ↑,
65', Bykov A. 🟨,
70', 1 - 3, Kiselev V. ⚽,
73', Vorobyov I. ↓, Tkachenko V. ↑,
73', Mokin M. ↓, Sazonchik S. ↑,
77', Pobudey V. ↓, Agbo G. ↑,
81', 2 - 3, Mikhayrin M. ⚽, Agbo G. (A),
83', Volskiy D. ↓, Kaplenko N. ↑,
88', 3 - 3, Agbo G. ⚽, Budko M. (A),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 3.
Recent form of Torpedo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Torpedo is the team to beat.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.3:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).
Outrights of Belarusian Vysshaya Liga for now
Zhodino: 0.41%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Zhodino
22
7
6
9
28:29
-1
27
12
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
23
5
8
10
24:41
-17
23
Last Results with these Odds
Torpedo-BelAZ - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 59.91%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Ignatovich S. (G) 
Bamba M. 
Chagovets Y. 
Vasilyev V. 
Agbo G. 
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