Match Info

Primera B - Round 32

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Arsenal Sarandí		Ituzaingó

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.20	7.75
	1.35	4.10	8.00	Watch
	1.36	4.40	9.00
	1.35	4.25	8.72	Watch
	1.36	3.85	9.05
	1.37	4.44	8.89
	1.34	4.10	7.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 (1.35)	4.19 ↓ (4.2)	8.46 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
67.4%

Draw
21.8%

Ituzaingó
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

21.4%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

20.2%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Ituzaingó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Arsenal Sarandí - Ituzaingó Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Ituzaingó (4.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Arsenal Sarandí will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ituzaingó (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lobelos J. (G) 4. Caceres R. 5. Colletta T. 9. Kestler I. 6. Peralta I. 3. Perez D. (C) 2. Schiavulli T. 10. Sosa M. 7. Trombini M. 11. Vega A. 8. Vila J.	1. Barraza L. (G) 2. Aguirre M. 8. Campusano M. 5. Desposito P. 10. Gras S. 11. Ibanez E. 6. Mantovani E. (C) 9. Mariani B. 3. Politano A. 7. Salvadores J. 4. Sotelo A.
Substitutes
17. Antilef A. 15. Cabral D. 13. Cabrera I. 16. Duarte L. 14. Frascone N. 19. Lucero M. 20. Ochoa J. 12. Pezzini N. (G) 18. Wrubel E.	12. Almiron A. (G) 14. Bermejo M. 16. Fanti J. 15. Fernandez J. 13. Martinez J. 19. Maza J. 17. Mena L. 20. Miranda A. 18. Santiago N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Kestler I. ⚽,
41', Schiavulli T. ↓, Cabrera I. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ibanez E. ↓, Mena L. ↑,
46', Perez D. 🟨,
46', Sotelo A. 🟨,
64', Trombini M. ↓, Lucero M. ↑,
64', Salvadores J. ↓, Fanti J. ↑,
64', Gras S. ↓, Maza J. ↑,
64', Desposito P. ↓, Miranda A. ↑,
68', Mantovani E. 🟨,
72', Kestler I. ↓, Cabral D. ↑,
72', Vega A. ↓, Wrubel E. ↑,
72', Vila J. ↓, Frascone N. ↑,
75', 2 - 0, Lucero M. ⚽,
76', Mariani B. ↓, Santiago N. ↑,
90+1', Campusano M. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Arsenal Sarandí is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arsenal Sarandí won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal Sarandi	38	19	12	7	50:25	25	69
22	Ituzaingo	38	1	12	25	25:62	-37	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera B
22.08.26	Argentino de Merlo - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:1 ✺
09.08.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Deportivo Armenio - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLTTT
- CA Ituzaingó
Argentinian Primera B
22.08.26	Ituzaingó - Deportivo Merlo	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Argentino de Merlo - Ituzaingó	1:1 ✺
07.08.26	Ituzaingó - Deportivo Camioneros	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Ituzaingó	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	Ituzaingó - Sportivo Italiano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
14.04.26	Ituzaingó - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0

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