The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ituzaingó 20%
Draw 29.8%
Sportivo Italiano 50.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.8%
31%
44.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24%
30%
45.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ituzaingó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportivo Italiano's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Ituzaingó - Sportivo Italiano Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Sportivo Italiano will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sportivo Italiano (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Almiron A. (G) 3. Barea T. 8. Campusano M. 5. Desposito P. 9. Mariani B. 2. Martinez J. 10. Mena L. 11. Moreira 7. Regules I. 6. Salvadores J. 4. Sotelo A.
1. Yordan G. (G) 4. Bifiguer C. 7. Caceres P. 3. Daivez A. 10. De Cuadro J. 8. Guerra A. 11. Laborda L. 6. Merzario E. 9. Molina F. 2. Ordonez C. 5. Rivero J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Desposito P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Merzario E. ↓, Durante P. ↑,
49', Durante P. 🟨,
68', De Cuadro J. ↓, Gimenez K. ↑,
68', Martinez J. ↓, Politano A. ↑,
68', Mena L. ↓, Luppino F. ↑,
77', Guerra A. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
77', Molina F. ↓, Gomez F. ↑,
81', Laborda L. ↓, Caceres P. ↑,
81', Mariani B. ↓, Gras S. ↑,
82', Daivez A. 🟨,
90+1', Guzman M. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 2.
Ituzaingó is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Sportivo Italiano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Sportivo Italiano is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.6:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Ituzaingó won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Sportivo Italiano
38
18
11
9
45:28
17
65
22
Ituzaingo
38
1
12
25
25:62
-37
15
Last Results with these Odds
Ituzaingó - the odds 3.6 are the expected chance of winning is 24.8%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
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Almiron A. (G) 
Moreira 
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