Match Info

Primera B - Round 28

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Arsenal Sarandí		Brown de Adrogué

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.25	5.50
	1.65	3.15	5.3	Watch
	1.74	3.05	5.32
	1.57	3.42	6.06	Watch
	1.76	2.9	5.05
	1.87	3.12	4.67
	1.66	3.15	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.58)	3.15 ↓ (3.45)	5.27 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
53.8%

Draw
28.9%

Brown de Adrogué
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

25.8%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

24.3%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Brown de Adrogué has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Sarandí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Arsenal Sarandí - Brown de Adrogué Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Brown de Adrogué will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lobelos J. (G) 4. Del Col M. 9. Franco L. 5. Frascone N. 8. La Roza U. 6. Peralta I. 3. Perez D. (C) 2. Schiavulli T. 10. Sosa M. 7. Trombini M. 11. Vega A.	1. Wysocki M. (G) 9. Baez B. 7. Baldunciel L. 4. Bogado J. 11. Ferrario F. 3. Guerrero B. 6. Pieres M. 5. Robles E. 2. Sanchez L. 8. Silva J. 10. Sproat M. (C)
Substitutes
17. Antilef A. 13. Brienzo N. 15. Goncebat J. 20. Kestler I. 18. Ochoa J. 14. Payes A. 12. Pezzini N. (G) 16. Vila J. 19. Wrubel E.	15. Castano A. 14. Cesare L. 16. Galeano V. 12. Giovini S. (G) 17. Gonzalez A. 19. Lopez B. 20. Meaurio N. 18. Noble M. 13. Rodriguez N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Sanchez L. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Robles E. 🟨,
60', 1 - 1, Baez B. ⚽,
63', Sproat M. ↓, Noble M. ↑,
63', Ferrario F. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
65', Vega A. ↓, Antilef A. ↑,
69', Franco L. ↓, Kestler I. ↑,
69', Trombini M. ↓, Ochoa J. ↑,
72', Silva J. ↓, Castano A. ↑,
75', Perez D. 🟨,
76', Castano A. 🟨,
78', Frascone N. ↓, Vila J. ↑,
78', La Roza U. ↓, Wrubel E. ↑,
85', Baldunciel L. ↓, Galeano V. ↑,
85', Baez B. ↓, Meaurio N. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 18).

Arsenal Sarandí is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Brown de Adrogué has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Arsenal Sarandí is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Sarandí won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal Sarandí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal Sarandi	38	19	12	7	50:25	25	69
19	Brown Adrogue	38	8	15	15	24:37	-13	39

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera B
25.07.26	Deportivo Armenio - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Deportivo Flandria	1:0 ✺
14.07.26	Argentino de Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
10.07.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Defensores Unidos	3:1 ✺
04.07.26	Comunicaciones - Arsenal Sarandí	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLWW
- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera B
25.07.26	Brown de Adrogué - Argentino de Merlo	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
14.07.26	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Laferrere	0:1 ✺
10.07.26	Brown de Adrogué - Ituzaingó	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Deportivo Armenio - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
21.03.26	Brown de Adrogué - Arsenal Sarandí	0:4
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.11.18	Arsenal Sarandí - Brown de Adrogué	2:1
Club Friendly
17.01.18	Arsenal Sarandí - Brown de Adrogué	0:1

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