Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 6

Date: 6 March 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)


	Arsenal Sarandí		Belgrano

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.45
	3.1	2.95	2.45
	3.2	3.1	2.4
	2.95	2.95	2.47
	3.21	3.04	2.55
	3.1	3.13	2.41	Watch
	3	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.3)	3.02 ↑ (2.95)	2.46 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
30.5%

Draw
31.2%

Belgrano
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

31.6%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

30.7%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Arsenal Sarandí - Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Belgrano will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 26 and 17).

Arsenal Sarandí has the most likely position - 28 (9.62%), has project points - 29, has currently - 4, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Belgrano has the most likely position - 23 (5.36%), has project points - 32, has currently - 7, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 1.

Arsenal Sarandí is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Belgrano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Arsenal Sarandí: Toloza S. (Injury)

There will not play in Belgrano: Losada N. (Red Card)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Sarandí won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.02.23	River Plate - Arsenal Sarandí	1:2 ✺
17.02.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Racing	0:3 ✺
12.02.23	Rosario Central - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1 ✺
04.02.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
28.01.23	San Lorenzo - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLLTL
- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.02.23	Belgrano - Tigre	0:2 ✺
18.02.23	Argentinos Juniors - Belgrano	3:0 ✺
10.02.23	Central Córdoba - Belgrano	0:1 ✺
04.02.23	Belgrano - River Plate	2:1 ✺
29.01.23	Racing - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.04.18	Belgrano - Arsenal Sarandí	3:0
04.06.17	Belgrano - Arsenal Sarandí	1:2
18.04.16	Arsenal Sarandí - Belgrano	3:3
10.05.15	Belgrano - Arsenal Sarandí	2:0
01.12.14	Arsenal Sarandí - Belgrano	0:2
11.05.14	Belgrano - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0
30.11.13	Arsenal Sarandí - Belgrano	1:4

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