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Current Win Probability
Belgrano 52.2%
Draw 28.2%
Barracas Central 19.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.3%
27.5%
20.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.8%
27.2%
20%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
53.3%
33.3%
13.3%
Belgrano - Barracas Central Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Barracas Central will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Belgrano: 28.1% – 78.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Espinola J. (G) 4. Lopez E. 37. Troilo M. 24. Dattola A. 33. Ostchega T. 5. Longo S. 15. Menossi L. 11. Gonzalez F. 10. Zelarayan L. 22. Fernandez N. 29. Jara F.
28. Ledesma M. (G) 13. Barrios R. 14. Jappert K. 15. Rak Y. 32. Tobio F. 6. Insua R. 21. Tapia I. 23. Tapia I. 10. Barrios N. 9. Morales G. 20. Candia J.
Substitutes
17. Cravero T. 34. Heredia G. 51. Hernandes R. 32. Mavilla J. 13. Meriano N. 65. Ocampo 9. Passerini L. 19. Quignon F. 7. Reyna B. 12. Sanchez U. 23. Vicentini M. (G) 20. Zelarayan G.
17. Blandi N. 7. Bruera F. 2. Capraro N. 31. Demartini N. 24. Duarte M. 16. Guaraz I. A. 33. Mater F. 30. Mino M. (G) 35. Perugini T. 19. Porra T. 79. Puig M. 8. Rosane S.
Coaches
Zielinski R.
Insua R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, Fernandez N. ⚽, Zelarayan L. (A),
36', 1 - 1, Tobio F. ⚽, Candia J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tapia I. ↓, Rosane S. ↑,
46', Barrios N. ↓, Porra T. ↑,
54', Morales G. ↓, Bruera F. ↑,
62', Ostchega T. 🟨,
63', Gonzalez F. ↓, Passerini L. ↑,
67', Fernandez N. 🟨,
72', Ostchega T. ↓, Meriano N. ↑,
74', Candia J. 🟨,
74', Jara F. 🟨,
80', Tobio F. 🟨,
80', 🟨,
81', Ledesma M. 🟨,
87', Jara F. ↓, Reyna B. ↑,
90+5', Troilo M. 🟨,
90+12', Menossi L. 🟨,
Preview
Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Barracas Central could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Belgrano is a favorite.
There will not play in Belgrano: Baldi A.
(Injury)
Compagnucci G.
(Injury)
Dattola A.
(Injury)
Grillo F.
(Red Card)
Leguizamon A.
(Red Card)
Velazquez J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Barracas Central: Irazoque A.
(Knee Injury)
Kruger F.
(Inactive)
Ruiz J.
(Inactive)
Tobio F.
(Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Belgrano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).