Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Diego Armando Maradona (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium, HBO Max, TNT Sports
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Disney+
Colombia	ESPN
Ecuador	ESPN
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Mexico	Disney+
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
South-america	ViX Latin America
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Argentinos Juniors		Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.01	2.75	4.75	Watch
	2.05	2.92	4.2	Watch
	2.06	3	4.74
	2.08	2.83	4.56	Watch
	2	2.8	4.2
	2.05	2.93	4.48	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.05)	2.93 ↓ (3.3)	4.4 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Argentinos Juniors
46.3%

Draw
32.2%

Belgrano
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

28.9%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

28.1%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentinos Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Argentinos Juniors - Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Belgrano will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Belgrano (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Belgrano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cortes B. (G) 22. Lozano L. 16. Alvarez F. 6. Riquelme R. D. 20. Prieto S. 10. Lescano A. (C) 24. Fattori F. 11. Oroz N. 30. Morales I. 27. Molina T. 48. Jainikoski F.	25. Cardozo T. (G) 14. Morales L. 2. Maldonado A. 17. Lopez L. 3. Sporle A. 21. Sanchez A. 5. Longo S. 24. Rigoni E. 10. Zelarayan L. (C) 11. Gonzalez F. 9. Passerini L.
Substitutes
26. Bravo C. 14. Coronel K. 21. Florentin G. 7. Giaccone L. 4. Godoy E. 8. Gomez L. 23. Lopez H. 17. Paredes F. 33. Perez E. 47. Porcel D. 12. Siri Payer G. (G) 9. Veron G.	26. Benitez Cabrera A. J. 45. Falcon A. 22. Fernandez N. 37. Gutierrez L. 51. Hernandes R. 32. Mavilla J. 13. Ocampo A. 16. Ricca F. 20. Vazquez F. 53. Velazquez J. 23. Vicentini M. (G) 30. Zelarayan G.
Coaches
Diez N.	Zielinski R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Jainikoski F. ⚽,
14', Lopez L. ↓, Falcon A. ↑,
18', Riquelme R. D. 🟨,
31', Longo S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gonzalez F. ↓, Hernandes R. ↑,
46', Longo S. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
51', Sporle A. 🟨,
72', Passerini L. 🟨,
73', Jainikoski F. ↓, Florentin G. ↑,
75', Sanchez A. 🟨,
80', Falcon A. 🟨,
82', Oroz N. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
82', Morales I. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
82', Sanchez A. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
86', Lescano A. ↓, Godoy E. ↑,
87', Sporle A. ↓, Gutierrez L. ↑,
90', Rigoni E. 🟨,
90+4', Zelarayan L. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Fernandez N. ⚽, Passerini L. (A),
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Gutierrez L. ↓, Ricca F. ↑,
106', Fattori F. ↓, Lopez H. ↑,
111', Molina T. ↓, Veron G. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Veron G. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Zelarayan L. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Lopez H. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Vazquez F. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Alvarez F. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Passerini L. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Lozano L. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Fernandez N. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Florentin G. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Rigoni E. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Perez E. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Hernandes R. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Argentinos Juniors is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Argentinos Juniors: Gho J. (Knee Injury) Gimenez M. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez D. (Knee Injury) Viveros E. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Argentinos Juniors won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Argentinos Juniors - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 46.58%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.05.26	Argentinos Juniors - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0 ET ✺
09.05.26	Argentinos Juniors - Lanús	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Argentinos Juniors	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Argentinos Juniors	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Argentinos Juniors - Atlético Tucumán	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWW
- Belgrano de Cordoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.05.26	Belgrano - Unión Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Belgrano	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Belgrano - Sarmiento de Junín	4:0 ✺
26.04.26	Belgrano - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
20.04.26	Barracas Central - Belgrano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.02.26	Argentinos Juniors - Belgrano	0:0
10.11.25	Argentinos Juniors - Belgrano	1:0
Copa Argentina
23.10.25	Belgrano - Argentinos Juniors	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.04.25	Belgrano - Argentinos Juniors	1:1
01.06.24	Belgrano - Argentinos Juniors	1:0
18.02.23	Argentinos Juniors - Belgrano	3:0
02.02.19	Argentinos Juniors - Belgrano	0:0

Upcoming Matches