Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 6

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Referee: Balino J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, TyC Sports Play
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DSports 1


	Arsenal Sarandí		Quilmes

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.63	2.5	Watch
	3	2.6	2.6
	3.4	2.6	2.5	Watch
	3.34	2.54	2.67
	3.62	2.45	2.63	Watch
	3.2	2.6	2.6
	3.57	2.47	2.52
	3.4	2.6	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (2.9)	2.56 ↓ (2.63)	2.57 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
27.5%

Draw
36.3%

Quilmes
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

35.3%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

36.1%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Sarandí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Arsenal Sarandí - Quilmes Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Quilmes will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pourtau J. (G) 4. Vera M. 2. Gissi D. 6. Cocca M. 3. Cabrera I. 8. Purita E. 5. Vila J. 10. Fernandez E. 11. Ayala A. 7. Lopez M. 9. Klusener G.	1. Glellel E. (G) 4. Torrent F. 2. Aranda G. 6. Flores F. 3. Perez F. 11. Allende L. 5. Ramirez I. (C) 8. Kalinski E. 10. Roseti M. 9. Belinetz O. 7. Machado C.
Substitutes
20. Bordagaray F. 19. Echevarria F. 12. Herrera F. (G) 17. Lucero M. 18. Rius C. 14. Roselli N. 13. Stringa A. 15. Trombini M. 16. Villagra C.	19. Capano J. 17. Coronel J. 14. Enrique M. 12. Gagliardo M. (G) 13. Juarez M. 16. Martinez R. 18. Mino M. 15. Postigo J. 20. Schultz E.
Coaches
Rolon M.	Rondina S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Allende L. ⚽,
21', Flores F. 🟨,
28', Aranda G. 🟨,
28', Ayala A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cabrera I. ↓, Roselli N. ↑,
46', Ayala A. ↓, Lucero M. ↑,
52', Fernandez E. 🟨,
65', Roseti M. ↓, Schultz E. ↑,
65', Fernandez E. ↓, Villagra C. ↑,
74', Klusener G. ↓, Bordagaray F. ↑,
74', Purita E. ↓, Echevarria F. ↑,
79', Machado C. ↓, Postigo J. ↑,
79', Kalinski E. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
82', Cocca M. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Quilmes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:14 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Sarandí won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.03.25	Racing de Córdoba - Arsenal Sarandí	3:0 ✺
28.02.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Colegiales - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Los Andes	1:1 ✺
07.02.25	Arsenal Sarandí - All Boys	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTTTT
- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.03.25	Quilmes - All Boys	3:1 ✺
02.03.25	Alvarado - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Quilmes - Deportivo Madryn	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Deportivo Maipú - Quilmes	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Quilmes - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.07.24	Arsenal Sarandí - Quilmes	0:0
09.03.24	Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0
05.11.18	Arsenal Sarandí - Quilmes	4:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.06.17	Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí	2:2
11.04.16	Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí	1:4
04.05.15	Arsenal Sarandí - Quilmes	0:1
08.09.14	Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí	4:0

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