Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 18

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes (Quilmes)


	Quilmes		Gimnasia y Tiro

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.10	4.50	Watch
	1.95	3.00	3.90
	2.04	3.00	4.00	Watch
	1.96	3.12	4.85
	2.1	2.72	4.53	Watch
	2.00	2.90	4.00
	1.87	3.02	4.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.09)	2.98 ↑ (2.73)	4.3 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quilmes
47.2%

Draw
31.2%

Gimnasia y Tiro
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

33.6%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

34.4%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	62.5%	12.5%

Quilmes - Gimnasia y Tiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marinelli G. (G) 4. Vallejos M. 2. Rasso I. 6. Kippes A. 3. Ortega T. 8. Yangali J. 5. Bolivar A. 10. Batista A. 11. Vera U. 7. Lavezzi A. 9. Spetale A.	1. Cosentino F. (G) 4. Galetto J. 2. Guanini M. 6. Diaz G. 3. Montoya L. 8. Banega T. 5. Sivetti F. 7. Aguirre J. 10. Rinaldi N. 11. Capano J. 9. Gordillo L.
Substitutes
20. Dominguez A. 18. Fernandez M. 12. Glellel E. (G) 14. Luna S. 16. Martinez R. 17. Mejias T. 15. Postigo J. 13. Recalde L. 19. Vazquez G.	15. Birge M. 19. Borquez T. 20. Contin N. 13. Oviedo J. C. 12. Papaleo J. (G) 17. Rocca J. 18. Rodriguez P. A. 14. Tallura A. 16. Villarreal R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', Galetto J. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Lavezzi A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rinaldi N. ↓, Tallura A. ↑,
61', Capano J. ↓, Contin N. ↑,
64', Guanini M. 🟨,
65', Batista A. 🟨,
66', Diaz G. 🟨,
66', Batista A. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
72', Galetto J. ↓, Rocca J. ↑,
72', Sivetti F. ↓, Birge M. ↑,
76', Spetale A. 🟨,
77', Spetale A. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
77', Vera U. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
79', Guanini M. 🟨,
82', Aguirre J. ↓, Villarreal R. ↑,
86', Bolivar A. ↓, Postigo J. ↑,
86', Lavezzi A. ↓, Vazquez G. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Quilmes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Quilmes is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Quilmes - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 43.83%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.06.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Quilmes - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
24.05.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Quilmes - Tristán Suárez	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Güemes - Quilmes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWTLL
- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.06.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Gimnasia Jujuy	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - San Martín de Tucumán	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.06.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Quilmes	2:1
08.02.25	Quilmes - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:1

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