Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 18

Date: 13 June 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio El Gigante del Norte (Salta)

Referee: Possi Y. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Gimnasia y Tiro		Quilmes

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.5	3.75	Watch
	2.45	2.55	3.4
	2.42	2.45	3.65	Watch
	2.62	2.46	3.9
	2.65	2.53	3.22	Watch
	2.5	2.6	3.25
	2.5	2.38	3.84	Watch
	2.42	2.45	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.25)	2.49 ↓ (2.81)	3.58 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Tiro
36.9%

Draw
37.2%

Quilmes
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

32%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

31%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Gimnasia y Tiro - Quilmes Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abadia F. (G) 5. Birge M. 10. Busse W. 4. Chaves I. F. (C) 9. Contin N. 6. Diaz G. 7. Galetto J. 2. Guanini M. 11. Rinaldi N. 8. Rojas F. 3. Villarreal R.	1. Glellel E. (G) 3. Allende L. 2. Aranda G. 7. Belinetz O. 6. Flores F. 9. Herrera E. 11. Machado C. 8. Postigo J. 5. Ramirez I. (C) 10. Roseti M. 4. Torrent F.
Substitutes
14. Bravo G. 12. Cosentino F. (G) 18. Heredia F. 15. Keko 17. Mendez J. 13. Monti I. 20. Morello M. 19. Sivetti F. 16. Tallura A.	14. Bindella A. 20. Capano J. 19. Coronel J. 12. Herrera L. 13. Juarez M. 15. Kalinski E. 16. Martinez R. 17. Mino M. 18. Perez F.
Coaches
Quiroz F.	Rondina S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Guanini M. 🟨,
9', Busse W. 🟨,
25', Belinetz O. ↓, Coronel J. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Coronel J. ⚽, Flores F. (A),
55', 1 - 1, Chaves I. F. ⚽, Villarreal R. (A),
59', Busse W. ↓, Sivetti F. ↑,
65', Torrent F. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
74', 2 - 1, Contin N. ⚽,
76', Roseti M. ↓, Mino M. ↑,
76', Postigo J. ↓, Kalinski E. ↑,
76', Contin N. ↓, Heredia F. ↑,
82', Heredia F. 🟨,
84', Rinaldi N. ↓, Keko ↑,
89', Perez F. 🟨,
90', Aranda G. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).

In recent matches, Gimnasia y Tiro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Quilmes is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gimnasia y Tiro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.05.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Racing de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
24.05.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Colegiales	4:0 ✺
09.05.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - All Boys	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWTT
- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.05.25	Tristán Suárez - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
26.05.25	Quilmes - San Martín de Tucumán	1:2 ✺
18.05.25	Güemes - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	Quilmes - Patronato Parana	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.02.25	Quilmes - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:1

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