Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 8

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Referee: Espinoza F. (Arg)


	Arsenal Sarandí		Tigre

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.91
	4	3.25	1.93
	4.05	3.5	1.93
	3.8	3.15	1.99
	4.33	3.42	1.95
	4.1	3.48	1.9	Watch
	3.95	3.3	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (4)	3.36 ↑ (3.2)	1.94 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
23.3%

Draw
28%

Tigre
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

29.2%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

28%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Arsenal Sarandí - Tigre Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tigre will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tigre: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 23 and 22).

Arsenal Sarandí has the most likely position - 28 (9.9%), project points - 30, currently - 8, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Tigre has the most likely position - 13 (4.78%), project points - 36, currently - 8, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 3.

Recent matches Arsenal Sarandí is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tigre is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tigre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tigre is a favorite.

There will not play in Tigre: Leizza B. (Injury) Protti I. (Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Sarandí won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.03.23	Argentinos Juniors - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1 ✺
06.03.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Belgrano	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	River Plate - Arsenal Sarandí	1:2 ✺
17.02.23	Arsenal Sarandí - Racing	0:3 ✺
12.02.23	Rosario Central - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 TLWLL
- CA Tigre
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.03.23	Central Córdoba - Tigre	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Tigre - Argentinos Juniors	0:1 ✺
24.02.23	Belgrano - Tigre	0:2 ✺
18.02.23	Tigre - River Plate	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Racing - Tigre	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.10.22	Tigre - Arsenal Sarandí	1:4
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
25.04.22	Tigre - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.11.17	Arsenal Sarandí - Tigre	0:0
26.06.17	Arsenal Sarandí - Tigre	2:1
30.08.15	Arsenal Sarandí - Tigre	2:0
20.10.14	Tigre - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1
06.04.14	Arsenal Sarandí - Tigre	0:1

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