Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio José Dellagiovanna (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Tigre		Argentinos Juniors

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.75	2.55	Watch
	3.1	2.82	2.58	Watch
	3.19	2.89	2.68
	3.11	2.86	2.62	Watch
	3	2.7	2.5
	3.1	2.82	2.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (3.28)	2.81 ↓ (3.1)	2.58 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigre
30.3%

Draw
33.4%

Argentinos Juniors
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

30.5%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

30.8%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Argentinos Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Tigre - Argentinos Juniors Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigre (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Tigre (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tigre (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zenobio F. T. (G) 8. Garay M. 2. Laso J. (C) 20. Barrionuevo A. 24. Alvarez F. 11. Serrago T. 30. Elias J. 5. Leyes B. 21. Medina S. 29. Russo I. 22. Lopez S.	25. Cortes B. (G) 22. Lozano L. 16. Alvarez F. 6. Riquelme R. D. 20. Prieto S. 10. Lescano A. (C) 24. Fattori F. 8. Gomez L. 29. Viveros E. 30. Morales I. 11. Oroz N.
Substitutes
42. Arias R. 3. Banegas N. 33. Cabrera E. 18. Fernandez M. 28. Martinez P. 55. Mosqueira J. 19. Oviedo A. 50. Peluffo I. 23. Pineiro G. 17. Soto G. 26. Sultani T. (G) 32. Villalba J.	26. Bravo C. 31. Carrizo F. 14. Coronel K. 18. Fernandez L. 38. Fernandez R. 32. Infantino G. 48. Jainikoski F. 17. Paredes F. 47. Porcel D. 2. Ramirez T. 12. Siri Payer G. (G)
Coaches
Dabove D.	Diez N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Lescano A. 🟨,
42', Leyes B. 🟨,
42', Alvarez F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Alvarez F. ⚽, Oroz N. (A),
55', Cortes B. 🟨,
60', Alvarez F. 🟨,
60', Serrago T. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
61', Medina S. ↓, Cabrera E. ↑,
61', Leyes B. ↓, Oviedo A. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Oviedo A. ⚽, Garay M. (A),
70', Viveros E. 🟨,
76', Viveros E. ↓, Jainikoski F. ↑,
79', Lescano A. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
79', Morales I. ↓, Porcel D. ↑,
90', Russo I. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
90', Elias J. ↓, Mosqueira J. ↑,
90+1', Oroz N. ↓, Bravo C. ↑,
90+1', Prieto S. ↓, Carrizo F. ↑,
90+4', Lozano L. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigre won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Argentinos Juniors has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tigre won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tigre won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Tigre - the odds 3.28 are the expected chance of winning is 28.8%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Tigre
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.03.26	Tigre - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Tigre - Gimnasia La Plata	2:2 ✺
25.02.26	Barracas Central - Tigre	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Central Córdoba - Tigre	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
17.02.26	Tigre - Atlético Claypole	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTLTW
- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.03.26	Argentinos Juniors - Rosario Central	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Argentinos Juniors - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.02.26	Argentinos Juniors - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:2 penalties ✺
18.02.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Argentinos Juniors	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.02.26	Argentinos Juniors - River Plate	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.07.25	Tigre - Argentinos Juniors	2:1
30.01.25	Argentinos Juniors - Tigre	1:0
18.07.24	Argentinos Juniors - Tigre	0:2
05.03.23	Tigre - Argentinos Juniors	0:1
11.07.22	Argentinos Juniors - Tigre	2:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
15.05.22	Tigre - Argentinos Juniors	2:1 penalties
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.11.18	Tigre - Argentinos Juniors	2:1

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