Match Info

Date: 26 November 2021, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Arsenal U23		Derby County U23

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.8	3.8
	1.53	4.35	4.4
	1.53	4.4	4
	1.56	5.26	4.08
	1.52	4.8	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.75)	4.72 ↑ (3.92)	4.19 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal U23
59.1%

Draw
19.2%

Derby County U23
21.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.6%

23.1%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

18.7%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arsenal U23's performance.

Derby County U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal U23 than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County U23 than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Arsenal U23 - Derby County U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Arsenal U23 is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Derby U23 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Derby U23 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Derby U23 have a series of home games.

In this match Arsenal U23 is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Arsenal U23 won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 26-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal U23 won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal U23
English Premier League 2
22.11.21	Blackburn Rovers U23 - Arsenal U23	2:3 ✺
English Premier League Cup
11.11.21	Arsenal U23 - West Bromwich Albion U23	1:4 ✺
English Premier League 2
06.11.21	Arsenal U23 - Leicester City U23	3:3 ✺
29.10.21	Leeds United U23 - Arsenal U23	2:4 ✺
22.10.21	Arsenal U23 - Everton U23	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLTWW
- Derby County U23
English Premier League 2
19.11.21	Derby County U23 - Manchester United U23	1:1 ✺
English Premier League Cup
15.11.21	Derby County U23 - Reading U23	2:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
05.11.21	Derby County U23 - Blackburn Rovers U23	6:0 ✺
30.10.21	Liverpool U23 - Derby County U23	3:1 ✺
22.10.21	Derby County U23 - Crystal Palace U23	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League 2
12.04.21	Derby County U23 - Arsenal U23	2:3
27.11.20	Arsenal U23 - Derby County U23	3:1
03.01.20	Arsenal U23 - Derby County U23	2:2
30.08.19	Derby County U23 - Arsenal U23	2:2
08.04.19	Arsenal U23 - Derby County U23	5:0
26.11.18	Derby County U23 - Arsenal U23	5:0
15.12.17	Arsenal U23 - Derby County U23	3:3

Arsenal U23 - Derby County U23

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Arsenal U23 - Derby County U23 Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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