Match Info

Date: 19 November 2021, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Derby County U23		Manchester United U23

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.75	2.05
	2.7	3.5	2.2
	2.48	3.5	2.26
	2.66	3.6	2.36
	2.61	3.9	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.8)	3.65 ↓ (3.78)	2.23 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derby County U23
34.5%

Draw
24.8%

Manchester United U23
40.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.5%

24%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

18%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derby County U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Manchester United U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County U23 than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Derby County U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United U23 than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchester United U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Derby County U23 - Manchester United U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Man Utd U23 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Man Utd U23 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Derby U23 won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Derby U23 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derby County U23
English Premier League Cup
15.11.21	Derby County U23 - Reading U23	2:1 ✺
English Premier League 2
05.11.21	Derby County U23 - Blackburn Rovers U23	6:0 ✺
30.10.21	Liverpool U23 - Derby County U23	3:1 ✺
22.10.21	Derby County U23 - Crystal Palace U23	2:3 ✺
16.10.21	Chelsea U23 - Derby County U23	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLL
- Manchester United U23
English Premier League 2
06.11.21	Manchester United U23 - Leeds United U23	3:2 ✺
30.10.21	Tottenham Hotspur U23 - Manchester United U23	1:0 ✺
23.10.21	West Ham United U23 - Manchester United U23	6:0 ✺
16.10.21	Manchester United U23 - Blackburn Rovers U23	3:0 ✺
02.10.21	Manchester United U23 - Liverpool U23	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League 2
10.05.21	Manchester United U23 - Derby County U23	1:3
03.05.21	Derby County U23 - Manchester United U23	2:6
04.02.18	Derby County U23 - Manchester United U23	1:1
22.09.17	Manchester United U23 - Derby County U23	1:2
06.02.17	Derby County U23 - Manchester United U23	5:3
19.09.16	Manchester United U23 - Derby County U23	3:2

Derby County U23 - Manchester United U23

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Derby County U23 - Manchester United U23 Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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