Match Info

1. MFL - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
North Macedonia	12:00	Arena Premium 1


	Arsimi		Bregalnica Štip

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.10	2.80
	2.32	3	2.8
	2.33	2.96	2.79
	2.25	2.9	2.7
	2.27	3.26	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.21)	3.04 ↓ (3.35)	2.77 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 11%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsimi
38.8%

Draw
29.1%

Bregalnica Štip
32%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.8%

26.9%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

26%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsimi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Bregalnica Štip has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsimi than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bregalnica Štip than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Arsimi - Bregalnica Štip Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bregalnica (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Siljanovski D. (G) 21. Aliti A. 16. Dardhishta M. 2. Dzemaili S. 9. Gaye E. 5. Goni M. 44. Iljazi A. 15. Jusufi F. 7. Kaba L. 33. Mislimi M. 11. Ramadani A. (C)	52. Filevski N. (G) 5. Angelov M. 11. Gligorov I. 22. Kocev S. 8. Maksimov M. 10. Nikolov I. 18. Rajkov B. (C) 7. Stojanov M. 24. Stojkoski K. 14. Velkoski V. 16. Velkov A.
Substitutes
88. Ademi D. 22. Doshev G. 10. Gafuri A. 55. Gueye E. 13. Jankov R. (G) 19. Memeti S. 4. Mustafa S. 29. Olaosebikan I. 20. Ribaudo S. 23. Velija B. 3. Zuka F.	23. Aleksovski F. 15. Hadzi-Kimov B. 1. Jasar A. (G) 13. Lemos M. 35. Mascoe N. 9. Miholov D. 98. Milenkovski M. (G) 3. Nikolovski A. 19. Stojanov D. 17. Tasev D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
16', Kaba L. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Kaba L. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Kocev S. ⚽,
36', Kocev S. 🟨,
40', 1 - 2, Gligorov I. ⚽,
41', Ramadani A. 🟨,
45', Nikolov I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', Goni M. 🟨,
52', 1 - 3, Velkoski V. ⚽,
54', Dardhishta M. ↓, Memeti S. ↑,
59', 2 - 3, Goni M. ⚽,
62', Jusufi F. ↓, Gafuri A. ↑,
64', 3 - 3, Ramadani A. ⚽,
84', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 8th in the 1. MFL (Relegation) and 7th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Arsimi may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Arsimi has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 1.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Arsimi against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Bregalnica Stip	11	4	1	6	15:20	-5	13
8	Arsimi	11	2	4	5	11:25	-14	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Arsimi
North Macedonian 1 MFL
19.10.26	Arsimi - Tikveš	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Arsimi - Sileks	1:1 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
24.09.26	Mogila - Arsimi	0:12 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
21.09.26	Struga - Arsimi	6:0 ✺
11.09.26	Arsimi - Shkendija Tetovo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TTWLT
- Bregalnica Štip
North Macedonian 1 MFL
17.10.26	Bregalnica Štip - Vardar	0:1 ✺
10.10.26	Tikveš - Bregalnica Štip	3:0 ✺
23.09.26	Bregalnica Štip - Skopje	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Sileks - Bregalnica Štip	2:2 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
09.09.26	Teteks - Bregalnica Štip	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 2 MFL
03.05.25	Arsimi - Bregalnica Štip	2:1
10.11.24	Bregalnica Štip - Arsimi	2:1

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