Match Info

1. MFL - Round 10

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Bregalnica Štip		Vardar

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.70	1.52
	5.5	3.6	1.5
	5.18	3.62	1.55
	5.3	3.69	1.59	Watch
	4.95	3.45	1.52
	5.95	3.64	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.36 ↓ (6.44)	3.62 ↓ (4.03)	1.53 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bregalnica Štip
16.7%

Draw
24.8%

Vardar
58.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

14.1%

22.5%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

21.8%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bregalnica Štip has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Vardar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bregalnica Štip than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vardar than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vardar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bregalnica Štip - Vardar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
52. Filevski N. (G) 5. Angelov M. 11. Gligorov I. 22. Kocev S. (C) 8. Maksimov M. 10. Nikolov I. 3. Nikolovski A. 18. Rajkov B. 7. Stojanov M. 24. Stojkoski K. 14. Velkoski V.	95. Taleski D. (G) 6. Babunski D. 32. Castaneda D. 27. Cvetkovski F. 21. Jankulov G. 4. Matic M. 71. Miguel Pires 5. Najdovski F. 8. Nikolov B. 9. Omeragic A. (C) 10. Zakaric G.
Substitutes
23. Aleksovski F. 21. Georgiev L. 15. Hadzi-Kimov B. 1. Jasar A. (G) 13. Lemos M. 9. Miholov D. 98. Milenkovski M. (G) 19. Stojanov D. 17. Tasev D. 16. Velkov A.	88. Bosancic N. 49. Danev D. 14. Diabate S. 23. Duranski F. 3. Manevski M. 31. Markovski I. 18. Mishkovski N. 34. Puleio I. 17. Spahiu E. 22. Todorovski D. 99. Velkovski M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, ⚽,
35', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', 🟨,
63', 🟨,
66', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 7th and 3rd in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bregalnica won 0.

Bregalnica has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Vardar shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this match, Vardar enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Bregalnica has recorded 0 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:36 (averaging 0.4:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bregalnica against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with 6:13 goals (averaging 0.6:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Vardar	11	6	3	2	17:9	8	21
7	Bregalnica Stip	11	4	1	6	15:20	-5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bregalnica Štip
North Macedonian 1 MFL
10.10.26	Tikveš - Bregalnica Štip	3:0 ✺
23.09.26	Bregalnica Štip - Skopje	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Sileks - Bregalnica Štip	2:2 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
09.09.26	Teteks - Bregalnica Štip	1:4 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
04.09.26	Bregalnica Štip - Shkëndija Haraçinë	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWTWL
- FK Vardar
North Macedonian 1 MFL
11.10.26	Skopje - Vardar	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Vardar - Shkëndija Haraçinë	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Bashkimi Kumanovo - Vardar	3:3 ✺
07.09.26	Vardar - Arsimi	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Tikveš - Vardar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
25.07.26	Vardar - Bregalnica Štip	2:0
01.05.24	Bregalnica Štip - Vardar	0:3
25.02.24	Vardar - Bregalnica Štip	2:0
01.10.23	Bregalnica Štip - Vardar	0:0
03.05.17	Bregalnica Štip - Vardar	3:3
12.03.17	Vardar - Bregalnica Štip	2:0
05.11.16	Bregalnica Štip - Vardar	0:1

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