Match Info

1. MFL - Round 27

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday


	Arsimi		Pelister

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.15	2.42
	2.83	2.92	2.41
	2.75	2.8	2.45
	2.66	2.95	2.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.73)	2.96 ↓ (3.24)	2.45 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 11.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsimi
33%

Draw
30.3%

Pelister
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

28%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

27.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsimi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Pelister has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsimi than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelister than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Arsimi - Pelister Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Arsimi will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Pelister will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Siljanovski D. (G) 13. Abdulla X. 9. Bayo F. 16. Dardhishta M. 2. Dzemaili S. 10. Gafuri A. (C) 5. Goni M. 15. Jusufi F. 4. Mustafa S. 17. Olatunbosun S. 23. Velija B.	1. Jovcevski A. (G) 11. Boskovski F. 28. Bulatovic L. 27. Milojevic L. 9. Petrovic F. 24. Ristevski K. 14. Ristovski M. 10. Spirovski S. (C) 22. Srbijanac M. 15. Stojanovski H. 5. Zdravkovic N.
Substitutes
18. Alii R. 21. Aliti A. 3. Avduli X. 6. Cuculi A. 20. Huric M. 1. Islami V. (G) 12. Ismaili A. (G) 14. Murati A. 11. Ramadani A. 8. Redjepi B. 7. Selmani R.	3. Fejzulovski E. 6. Grozdanovski H. 23. Grozdanovski T. 2. Ivanovski S. 7. Kerim V. 29. Mrmachovski J. 8. Petkovski P. 36. Petrovic M. 12. Petrovski I. (G) 4. Ristevski A. 30. Zdravevski B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
85', 🟨,

Preview

Arsimi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pelister is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Arsimi has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsimi won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Arsimi won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Arsimi	8	2	2	4	6:19	-13	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Arsimi
North Macedonian 1 MFL
09.04.26	Makedonija Gjorče Petrov - Arsimi	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	AP Brera Strumica - Arsimi	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Arsimi - Vardar	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Shkendija Tetovo - Arsimi	1:0 ✺
10.03.26	Rabotnički - Arsimi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.2 WWWLL
- FK Pelister
North Macedonian 1 MFL
08.04.26	Pelister - Vardar	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Shkendija Tetovo - Pelister	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Pelister - Struga	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Sileks - Pelister	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Tikveš - Pelister	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
08.12.25	Arsimi - Pelister	3:3
14.09.25	Pelister - Arsimi	0:4
North Macedonian 2 MFL
13.04.24	Pelister - Arsimi	3:0
21.10.23	Arsimi - Pelister	1:1
04.03.23	Pelister - Arsimi	3:1

Arsimi - Pelister: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide