Match Info

1. MFL - Round 26

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday


	Pelister		Vardar

	1	X	2
	6.9	4.15	1.38
	5.5	4.1	1.38
	7.97	4.18	1.38	Watch
	7	4	1.36
	7.35	3.99	1.44
	6.69	3.76	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.9 ↑ (6.78)	4.03 ↑ (3.8)	1.4 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pelister
13.1%

Draw
22.4%

Vardar
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.4%

23.9%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

23.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pelister has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Vardar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelister than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vardar than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Pelister - Vardar Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Vardar will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jovcevski A. (G) 11. Boskovski F. 28. Bulatovic L. 6. Grozdanovski H. 44. Ivanovski M. (C) 21. Krstevski G. 24. Ristevski K. 14. Ristovski M. 10. Spirovski S. 22. Srbijanac M. 5. Zdravkovic N.	95. Taleski D. (G) 88. Bosancic N. 32. Castaneda D. 7. Danev D. 21. Jankulov G. 3. Manevski M. 4. Matic M. 8. Nikolov B. 9. Omeragic A. (C) 99. Torres J. 14. Velkovski D.
Substitutes
17. Angelevski D. 23. Grozdanovski T. 2. Ivanovski S. 7. Kerim V. 27. Milojevic L. 29. Mrmachovski J. 8. Petkovski P. 9. Petrovic F. 12. Petrovski I. (G) 4. Ristevski A. 30. Zdravevski B.	6. Babunski D. 26. Cvetkovic S. 27. Cvetkovski F. 25. Kjosevski V. (G) 18. Mishkovski N. 5. Najdovski F. 29. Olaosebikan I. 34. Puleio I. 17. Spahiu E. 22. Todorovski D. 10. Zakaric G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', 🟨,
65', 🟨,
65', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pelister won 1.

Pelister is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Vardar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Vardar is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pelister won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:29. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Pelister won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 0.9:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Vardar	8	4	2	2	14:8	6	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Pelister
North Macedonian 1 MFL
04.04.26	Shkendija Tetovo - Pelister	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Pelister - Struga	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Sileks - Pelister	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Tikveš - Pelister	1:0 ✺
05.03.26	Pelister - Sileks	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLTLT
- FK Vardar
North Macedonian 1 MFL
04.04.26	Vardar - Makedonija Gjorče Petrov	5:1 ✺
21.03.26	Arsimi - Vardar	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Vardar - AP Brera Strumica	1:0 ✺
09.03.26	Sileks - Vardar	0:1 ✺
05.03.26	Vardar - Shkendija Tetovo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
05.11.25	Pelister - Vardar	1:2
08.08.25	Vardar - Pelister	4:1
29.03.25	Pelister - Vardar	1:3
03.11.24	Pelister - Vardar	1:0
18.08.24	Vardar - Pelister	1:0
North Macedonian 2 MFL
03.12.22	Pelister - Vardar	2:2
North Macedonian Cup
15.12.21	Pelister - Vardar	0:0

Pelister - Vardar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide