Match Info

1. MFL - Round 24

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Arsimi		Vardar

	1	X	2
	20	7	1.12
	11	5.7	1.18
	14.7	6.1	1.13
	7.5	4.75	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.3 ↑ (10.2)	5.89 ↑ (5.1)	1.16 ↓ (1.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsimi
6.8%

Draw
15.4%

Vardar
77.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

8.9%

17.7%

73.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsimi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Vardar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Arsimi - Vardar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Siljanovski D. (G) 6. Cuculi A. 16. Dardhishta M. 2. Dzemaili S. 10. Gafuri A. (C) 5. Goni M. 15. Jusufi F. 4. Mustafa S. 17. Olatunbosun S. 7. Selmani R. 23. Velija B.	95. Taleski D. (G) 6. Babunski D. 26. Cvetkovic S. 7. Danev D. 21. Jankulov G. 4. Matic M. 8. Nikolov B. 9. Omeragic A. (C) 17. Spahiu E. 14. Velkovski D. 10. Zakaric G.
Substitutes
18. Alii R. 21. Aliti A. 9. Bayo F. 34. Beljulji M. 20. Huric M. 1. Islami V. (G) 12. Ismaili A. (G) 77. Kasami L. 14. Murati A. 11. Ramadani A. 8. Redjepi B.	32. Castaneda D. 27. Cvetkovski F. 23. Duranski F. 25. Kjosevski V. (G) 31. Markovski I. 18. Mishkovski N. 24. Mitanoski I. 29. Olaosebikan I. 34. Puleio I. 19. Talevski M. 99. Torres J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Velija B. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Goni M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Babunski D. ↓, Castaneda D. ↑,
46', Spahiu E. ↓, Cvetkovski F. ↑,
60', Cvetkovic S. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
62', Selmani R. 🟨,
63', Selmani R. ↓, Huric M. ↑,
66', Mustafa S. 🟨,
68', Gafuri A. 🟨,
70', Nikolov B. ↓, Talevski M. ↑,
78', Jusufi F. ↓, Aliti A. ↑,
78', Gafuri A. ↓, Bayo F. ↑,
82', Huric M. 🟨,
84', Jankulov G. 🟨,
90+5', Olatunbosun S. 🟨,

Preview

Arsimi is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Vardar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Vardar is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arsimi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 1:3.3).

Including home match between the teams, Arsimi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Vardar	8	4	2	2	14:8	6	14
8	Arsimi	8	2	2	4	6:19	-13	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Arsimi
North Macedonian 1 MFL
15.03.26	Shkendija Tetovo - Arsimi	1:0 ✺
10.03.26	Rabotnički - Arsimi	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Arsimi - Tikveš	0:5 ✺
01.03.26	Arsimi - Makedonija Gjorče Petrov	1:1 ✺
16.02.26	Arsimi - AP Brera Strumica	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- FK Vardar
North Macedonian 1 MFL
14.03.26	Vardar - AP Brera Strumica	1:0 ✺
09.03.26	Sileks - Vardar	0:1 ✺
05.03.26	Vardar - Shkendija Tetovo	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Struga - Vardar	1:1 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
24.02.26	Vardar - Ohrid	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
11.02.26	Vardar - Arsimi	5:1
18.09.25	Arsimi - Vardar	1:4
North Macedonian 2 MFL
18.02.23	Vardar - Arsimi	1:1

Arsimi - Vardar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide