Match Info

CHILE: Segunda Division - Round 19

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday


	Arturo Fernández Vial		Deportes Melipilla

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2
	3.25	3.3	2.05
	3.21	3.15	2.04
	3.36	3.27	2.06	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2
	3.34	3.22	2.06
	3.25	3.3	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↓ (3.91)	3.23 ↓ (3.5)	2.04 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arturo Fernández Vial
27.7%

Draw
27.9%

Deportes Melipilla
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.3%

26%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

25.4%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arturo Fernández Vial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Deportes Melipilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Melipilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arturo Fernández Vial than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Melipilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Melipilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Vargas L. ⚽,
9', Vergara C. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 🟥,
80', 🟥,
87', 0 - 2, Taiva B. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B).

Recent matches Arturo Fernández Vial is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Melipilla is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Melipilla will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arturo Fernández Vial won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Arturo Fernández Vial won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arturo Fernández Vial
Chilean Segunda Division
12.08.24	Trasandino de Los Andes - Arturo Fernández Vial	1:0 ✺
04.08.24	Arturo Fernández Vial - Provincial Osorno	2:1 ✺
27.07.24	Provincial Ovalle - Arturo Fernández Vial	1:1 ✺
21.07.24	Deportes Puerto Montt - Arturo Fernández Vial	0:0 ✺
13.07.24	Arturo Fernández Vial - Lautaro de Buin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWTTW
- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Segunda Division
10.08.24	Deportes Melipilla - General Velásquez	1:0 ✺
03.08.24	San Antonio Unido - Deportes Melipilla	3:4 ✺
28.07.24	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Linares	1:1 ✺
22.07.24	Concón National - Deportes Melipilla	2:1 ✺
14.07.24	Deportes Melipilla - Trasandino de Los Andes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
07.04.24	Deportes Melipilla - Arturo Fernández Vial	2:1
16.07.23	Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Melipilla	1:2
05.03.23	Deportes Melipilla - Arturo Fernández Vial	2:1
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
02.10.22	Deportes Melipilla - Arturo Fernández Vial	2:2
08.05.22	Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Melipilla	1:1

Arturo Fernández Vial - Deportes Melipilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide