Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 11

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Soinca Bata (Melipilla)


	Deportes Melipilla		Trasandino de Los Andes

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	2.95
	2.06	3.5	3.05
	2.06	3.59	3.04
	2.04	3.62	3.1	Watch
	2.07	3.32	3.19	Watch
	2.06	3.5	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.37)	3.47 ↑ (3.25)	3.06 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Melipilla
44.2%

Draw
26.2%

Trasandino de Los Andes
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

28%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

28.2%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Melipilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Melipilla's performance.

Trasandino de Los Andes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Melipilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trasandino de Los Andes than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Deportes Melipilla - Trasandino de Los Andes Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Santelices L. (G) 16. Arenas F. 25. Basaure N. 27. Caceres B. 3. Flores E. 4. Fuentes B. 7. Inostroza B. 17. Magana C. 23. Martinez L. 6. Rodriguez M. (C) 20. Sepulveda G.	1. Fernandez A. (G) 14. Antilef E. 8. Delgado J. 15. Gomez J. 17. Henriquez A. 6. Hormazabal C. 18. Navarrete C. 25. Pacheco I. 26. Painen S. 9. Quinones J. 5. Torres M.
Substitutes
15. Becerra V. 1. Chacon T. (G) 8. Cruz Y. 13. Escalona Armijo M. 24. Luarte G. 5. Millalen E. 33. Valencia M.	12. Cerda J. (G) 13. Martinez W. 21. Munoz S. 3. Osorio R. 10. Rodriguez B. 20. Salaberry S. 7. Venegas B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Inostroza B. ⚽,
11', 🟨,
12', 2 - 0, Rodriguez M. ⚽,
17', Caceres B. 🟨,
19', Painen S. 🟨,
21', 3 - 0, Inostroza B. ⚽,
25', Antilef E. 🟥,
38', Quinones J. 🟨,
44', Navarrete C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 🟨,
54', Basaure N. 🟨,
55', Gomez J. ↓, Venegas B. ↑,
63', Martinez L. ↓, Escalona Armijo M. ↑,
71', 🟨,
71', Navarrete C. ↓, Salaberry S. ↑,
71', Painen S. ↓, Munoz S. ↑,
82', 4 - 0, Becerra V. ⚽,
90', Inostroza B. ↓, Luarte G. ↑,
90+2', Cruz Y. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Melipilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Melipilla will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Melipilla won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Melipilla won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Segunda Division
25.05.25	San Antonio Unido - Deportes Melipilla	3:2 ✺
11.05.25	Deportes Melipilla - Brujas Salamanca	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Deportes Linares - Deportes Melipilla	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Provincial Ovalle - Deportes Melipilla	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLLTW
- Trasandino de Los Andes
Chilean Segunda Division
17.05.25	Deportes Linares - Trasandino de Los Andes	3:2 ✺
11.05.25	Trasandino de Los Andes - Deportes Rengo	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Real San Joaquín - Trasandino de Los Andes	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Trasandino de Los Andes - San Antonio Unido	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Trasandino de Los Andes - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
14.07.24	Deportes Melipilla - Trasandino de Los Andes	3:1
02.03.24	Trasandino de Los Andes - Deportes Melipilla	0:4
08.07.23	Deportes Melipilla - Trasandino de Los Andes	2:1
26.02.23	Trasandino de Los Andes - Deportes Melipilla	2:1

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