The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Antonio Unido 40.1%
Draw 28.1%
Deportes Melipilla 31.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.9%
25.8%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
24.6%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Antonio Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Deportes Melipilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio Unido than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (-1%)
San Antonio Unido - Deportes Melipilla Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Veloso Espinoza N. (G) 9. Cuellar D. 10. Fernandez R. 5. Fiamengo D. 2. Hidalgo K. 20. Lara Collao M. A. 7. Lopes Acevedo M. 14. Nunez D. 15. Pinilla Y. 3. Piro Y. 22. Riquelme A.
34. Santelices L. (G) 15. Becerra V. 10. Becica A. 30. Demateis V. 3. Flores E. 4. Fuentes B. 7. Inostroza B. 23. Martinez L. 5. Millalen E. 29. Munoz P. 6. Rodriguez M.
Substitutes
8. Arancibia J. 30. Cabello S. (G) 28. Cereceda R. 23. Melendez R. 27. Reyes J. 25. Sandoval M. 18. Tellas G.
16. Arenas F. 25. Basaure N. 1. Chacon T. (G) 8. Cruz Y. 2. Gutierrez C. 24. Luarte G. 17. Magana C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Cuellar D. ⚽,
45+3', Demateis V. 🟥,
45+5', 2 - 0, Fernandez R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Munoz P. ↓, Basaure N. ↑,
49', Fuentes B. 🟨,
50', Piro Y. 🟨,
51', Nunez D. 🟨,
59', Nunez D. ↓, Arancibia J. ↑,
59', Fernandez R. ↓, Sandoval M. ↑,
66', Becerra V. ↓, Cruz Y. ↑,
66', Cuellar D. ↓, Tellas G. ↑,
66', Pinilla Y. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
67', 3 - 0, Riquelme A. ⚽,
70', Flores E. 🟨,
75', Sandoval M. 🟨,
75', Lopes Acevedo M. ↓, Melendez R. ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Becica A. ⚽,
82', 3 - 2, Inostroza B. ⚽,
83', Becica A. ↓, Arenas F. ↑,
90+2', Millalen E. ↓, Luarte G. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 13 in the zone Relegation).
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
San Antonio Unido may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, San Antonio Unido won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).
Including home matches between the teams, San Antonio Unido won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).