Match Info

UGANDA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 8

Date: 24 November 2023, Friday


	Arua Hill		UPDF

	1	X	2
	2.53	2.94	2.73
	2.43	3.15	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.55)	3.05 ↓ (3.68)	2.72 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arua Hill
36.7%

Draw
29.9%

UPDF
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

24.8%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

24.4%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arua Hill has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

UPDF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UPDF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arua Hill than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UPDF than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UPDF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Anyama R. (G) 25. Ahumuza W. 15. Atendele G. 10. Gadafi W. 11. Kawawa R. 28. Kerepi J. 6. Mafabi Y. 2. Mandela N. 4. Musa I. 30. Omirambe B. 23. Oriti I.	1. Wasswa Y. (G) 17. Kamagu C. 14. Katende E. 13. Kawooya E. 12. Kiggundu M. 9. Kimuli G. 8. Kintu S. 4. Muwanga B. (C) 19. Nsimbe B. J. 3. Tebandeka C. 24. Vuni J.
Substitutes
9. Kalanda F. 19. Mansoor S. 12. Moro S. 7. Mpande R. 21. Oloro N. 29. Ringe	5. Agaba O. 7. Faridi R. 28. Kabuye B. 16. Kiirya A. 18. Mabuya S. (G) 11. Mawejje M. 23. Okidi J. (G) 6. Rogers A. 29. Tenywa H. 10. Zzinda H.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Arua Hill has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches UPDF is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Arua Hill won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Arua Hill won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arua Hill SC
Ugandan Super League
09.11.23	Villa - Arua Hill	3:1 ✺
31.10.23	Arua Hill - Kampala City Council	1:1 ✺
25.10.23	Mbarara City - Arua Hill	1:0 ✺
20.10.23	Arua Hill - Entebbe UPPC	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Arua Hill - Bul	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- UPDF FC
Ugandan Super League
09.11.23	UPDF - Bul	2:0 ✺
01.11.23	Busoga United - UPDF	0:2 ✺
27.10.23	UPDF - Express	1:1 ✺
20.10.23	NEC FC - UPDF	2:0 ✺
29.09.23	UPDF - Wakiso Giants	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
04.04.23	UPDF - Arua Hill	3:1
04.11.22	Arua Hill - UPDF	3:0
09.03.22	UPDF - Arua Hill	1:1
18.12.21	Arua Hill - UPDF	2:1

Arua Hill - UPDF: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide