Match Info

UGANDA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 8

Date: 15 November 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Bright Stars		Onduparaka

	1	X	2
	1.9	2.75	4.5
	1.78	2.75	5
	1.73	2.88	6.5
	1.75	2.88	6.45
	1.81	2.8	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.93)	2.81 ↑ (2.75)	5.53 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bright Stars
51%

Draw
32.5%

Onduparaka
16.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.1%

33.1%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

23.5%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bright Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Onduparaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bright Stars than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bright Stars that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Onduparaka than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Onduparaka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Bright Stars - Onduparaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bright Stars will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Onduparaka will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Onduparaka: 9.6% – 70.4%.

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bright Stars won 1.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Bright Stars could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bright Stars is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Bright Stars won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Bright Stars won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bright Stars FC
Ugandan Super League
08.11.22	Entebbe UPPC - Bright Stars	3:0 ✺
05.11.22	Bright Stars - Villa	0:1 ✺
26.10.22	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Bright Stars	2:2 ✺
19.10.22	Bright Stars - UPDF	1:1 ✺
11.10.22	Blacks Power - Bright Stars	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLTTT
- Onduparaka FC
Ugandan Super League
12.11.22	Onduparaka - Busoga United	0:1 ✺
02.11.22	Bul - Onduparaka	1:0 ✺
28.10.22	Onduparaka - Express	1:2 ✺
12.10.22	Entebbe UPPC - Onduparaka	0:0 ✺
07.10.22	Onduparaka - Villa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
22.10.21	Bright Stars - Onduparaka	0:1
18.05.21	Onduparaka - Bright Stars	0:0
06.03.21	Bright Stars - Onduparaka	0:1
02.11.19	Bright Stars - Onduparaka	1:0
02.02.19	Bright Stars - Onduparaka	1:1
30.10.18	Onduparaka - Bright Stars	0:0
25.05.18	Onduparaka - Bright Stars	2:0

Bright Stars - Onduparaka