The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arucas 62.1%
Draw 23.2%
Mensajero 14.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.5%
23.4%
14.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Arucas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Mensajero have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arucas than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Arucas - Mensajero Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).
Arucas is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Mensajero has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Arucas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Arucas has had a series of away games.
In this match, Arucas is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arucas won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Arucas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
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