Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 29

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Lanzarote		Arucas

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5.15
	1.62	3.59	5.28
	1.59	3.64	5.43
	1.6	3.3	5.5
	1.55	3.58	5.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.62)	3.54 ↑ (3.46)	5.4 ↑ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lanzarote
57.5%

Draw
25.7%

Arucas
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

26.1%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

19.1%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lanzarote has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Arucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanzarote than the current prediction. (-16.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lanzarote that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arucas than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arucas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lanzarote - Arucas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Sanchez Rodriguez T. ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, Gopar M. ⚽,
31', 3 - 0, Gopar M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+10', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lanzarote won 4.

In recent matches, Lanzarote has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arucas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Arucas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lanzarote is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lanzarote won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lanzarote won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Lanzarote	4	1	3	0	5:4	1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Lanzarote
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
28.03.26	Las Palmas C - Lanzarote	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Lanzarote - Villa de Santa Brígida	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Panadería Pulido - Lanzarote	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Lanzarote - Unión Sur Yaiza	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Telde - Lanzarote	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWTTL
- Arucas CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
28.03.26	Arucas - Villa de Santa Brígida	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Arucas - Arcángel San Miguel	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Atlético Paso - Arucas	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Real Unión - Arucas	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Arucas - Tamaraceite	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
22.11.25	Arucas - Lanzarote	3:1
17.04.25	Lanzarote - Arucas	1:0
06.12.24	Arucas - Lanzarote	2:3
07.04.24	Lanzarote - Arucas	2:1
19.11.23	Arucas - Lanzarote	1:3
11.03.23	Arucas - Lanzarote	1:4
06.11.22	Lanzarote - Arucas	1:0

Lanzarote - Arucas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide