Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PARANAENSE - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Willie Davids (Maringá)


	Aruko Sports		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.2
	3	2.85	2.25
	2.95	2.65	2.48
	3.13	2.77	2.47
	3.06	2.98	2.36	Watch
	3.05	3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.84)	2.88 ↓ (2.99)	2.34 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aruko Sports
29.9%

Draw
31.5%

Operário Ferroviario
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

30.6%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

30.9%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aruko Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aruko Sports's performance.

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Operário Ferroviario might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aruko Sports than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aruko Sports that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Operário Ferroviario could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aruko Sports - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Aruko Sports is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Operário Ferroviario is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Operário Ferroviario could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Operário Ferroviario will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aruko Sports won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aruko Sports
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
26.02.23	Cianorte - Aruko Sports	0:2 ✺
15.02.23	Aruko Sports - Azuriz	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Aruko Sports - FC Cascavel	2:1 ✺
08.02.23	São-Joseense - Aruko Sports	1:1 ✺
04.02.23	Aruko Sports - Maringá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WTWTT
- Operário Ferroviario
Copa do Brasil
01.03.23	Operário MS - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
26.02.23	Operário Ferroviario - Coritiba	3:0 ✺
15.02.23	Foz do Iguaçu - Operário Ferroviario	0:2 ✺
11.02.23	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	3:1 ✺
08.02.23	Operário Ferroviario - Rio Branco PR	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
01.02.23	Operário Ferroviario - Aruko Sports	2:1

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