Match Info

Date: 4 December 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Arzachena		Carbonia

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.6	3.8
	1.75	3.4	4.1
	1.69	3.5	3.95
	1.71	3.57	3.81
	1.87	3.2	4.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.54)	3.45 ↓ (3.84)	3.96 ↓ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arzachena
51.3%

Draw
26%

Carbonia
22.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.3%

23.8%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.8%

19.4%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arzachena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arzachena's form might have worsened.

Carbonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carbonia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arzachena than the current prediction. (+21.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arzachena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carbonia than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carbonia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arzachena - Carbonia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Arzachena is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carbonia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Carbonia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arzachena is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arzachena won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polisportiva Arzachena
Italian Serie D - Group G
24.11.21	Muravera - Arzachena	1:3 ✺
21.11.21	Arzachena - Nuova Florida	1:2 ✺
07.11.21	Sassari Torres - Arzachena	1:0 ✺
31.10.21	Arzachena - Real Monterotondo	0:0 ✺
24.10.21	Cassino - Arzachena	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLTW
- Carbonia Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
27.11.21	Carbonia - Nuova Florida	0:3 ✺
21.11.21	Ostia Mare - Carbonia	2:2 ✺
17.11.21	Lanusei - Carbonia	1:1 ✺
13.11.21	Carbonia - Sassari Torres	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Cynthialbalonga - Carbonia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
16.05.21	Carbonia - Arzachena	2:2

Arzachena - Carbonia

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Arzachena - Carbonia Predictions

Preview

Form

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