Match Info

Serie B - Round 3

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Ascoli		Benevento

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.10	2.50	Watch
	2.60	3.30	2.60
	2.35	3.35	2.88	Watch
	2.76	3.35	2.73
	2.47	3.22	2.87	Watch
	2.75	3.20	2.65
	2.69	3.21	2.71	Watch
	2.60	3.25	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.21)	3.25 ↑ (3.19)	2.71 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
36.2%

Draw
29%

Benevento
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

29.3%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

28.3%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ascoli's form might have worsened.

Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benevento's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ascoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benevento, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Ascoli - Benevento Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Benevento will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitale S. (G) 62. Milanese T. 30. Curado M. 33. Rizzo N. 7. Silipo A. 8. Corradini G. 4. Damiani S. 11. Perciun S. 19. Guiebre A. 35. Gori G. (C) 15. D'Uffizi S.	26. Vannucchi G. (G) 17. Sernicola L. 14. Scognamillo S. 23. Saio P. 20. Beruatto P. 4. Prisco A. 11. Lamesta D. 8. Maita M. (C) 10. Cherubini L. 9. Salvemini F. 93. Tumminello M.
Substitutes
13. Acampora G. 77. Bolsius D. 99. Brunori M. 9. Chakir M. A. 45. Crespi G. M. (G) 21. De Pieri G. 32. Gattoni F. 18. Lo Scalzo L. 3. Nicoletti M. 14. Oliveri A. 27. Ricci M. 16. Russo A.	5. Caldirola L. 15. Dalle Mura C. 22. Esposito M. (G) 28. Kouan C. 16. Mannini M. 32. Mignani G. 29. Okereke D. 77. Pierozzi E. 21. Schimmenti E. 6. Siatounis A. 96. Sylla A. (G) 38. Talia A.
Coaches
Tomei F.	Floro Flores A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Prisco A. 🟨,
42', Rizzo N. 🟨,
42', Prisco A. 🟨,
45', Curado M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tumminello M. ↓, Dalle Mura C. ↑,
46', Cherubini L. ↓, Kouan C. ↑,
53', Perciun S. ↓, Brunori M. ↑,
54', Silipo A. ↓, De Pieri G. ↑,
54', Gori G. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
64', Lamesta D. ↓, Siatounis A. ↑,
66', Beruatto P. 🟨,
68', Maita M. 🟨,
70', Beruatto P. ↓, Pierozzi E. ↑,
73', Damiani S. ↓, Acampora G. ↑,
84', 1 - 0, Brunori M. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Saio P. ↓, Okereke D. ↑,
86', Kouan C. 🟨,
88', Milanese T. ↓, Gattoni F. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 1.

Recent form of Ascoli has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Benevento has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ascoli might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Ascoli: Alagna M. (Inactive) Brzan R. (Inactive)

There will not play in Benevento: Battista V. (Inactive) Romano R. (Ankle Injury) Simonetti P. (Injury) Verdi S. (Foot Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ascoli won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.7:1.9).

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Ascoli: 2.52% Benevento: 1.93%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ascoli	5	3	1	1	7:4	3	10
7	Benevento	5	2	1	2	6:5	1	7

Last Results with these Odds

Ascoli - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.16%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
29.08.26	Ascoli - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Verona - Ascoli	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
16.08.26	Genoa - Ascoli	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Ascoli - Lazio	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Frosinone - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWLLL
- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie B
30.08.26	Benevento - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Benevento - Modena	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
14.08.26	Fiorentina - Benevento	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Frosinone - Benevento	2:2 ✺
31.07.26	Vis Pesaro - Benevento	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.02.23	Ascoli - Benevento	0:0
02.10.22	Benevento - Ascoli	1:1
13.05.22	Ascoli - Benevento	0:1
16.02.22	Benevento - Ascoli	0:2
18.09.21	Ascoli - Benevento	0:2
31.07.20	Ascoli - Benevento	2:4
29.12.19	Benevento - Ascoli	4:0

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