Match Info

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Benevento		Cesena

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.60	3.80
	1.85	3.4	3.85
	1.98	3.63	3.91
	1.87	3.58	3.91	Watch
	1.87	3.55	3.8
	1.86	3.58	3.95	Watch
	1.88	3.5	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.86)	3.53 (3.53)	3.91 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benevento
49.8%

Draw
26.4%

Cesena
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

26.5%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

26.4%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Benevento - Cesena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Serie B Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 10th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Benevento may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Benevento for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Benevento has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:5 (averaging 1.5:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Benevento against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Benevento: 1.93% Cesena: 1.48%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Benevento	5	2	1	2	6:5	1	7
10	Cesena	5	1	4	0	7:6	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benevento Calcio
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Frosinone - Benevento	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
19.09.26	Carrarese - Benevento	0:1 ✺
11.09.26	Benevento - Verona	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Ascoli - Benevento	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Benevento - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWLT
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
18.09.26	Juve Stabia - Cesena	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Cesena - Cremonese	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Cesena - Mantova	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Virtus Entella - Cesena	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Cesena - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
25.04.17	Cesena - Benevento	4:1
05.12.16	Benevento - Cesena	2:1

Benevento - Cesena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide