Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 5

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)


	Ascoli		Palermo

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.38	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.39	3.21	2.38
	3.2	3	2.1
	3.24	3.3	2.24	Watch
	3.15	3.15	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (3.16)	3.16 ↓ (3.22)	2.29 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
29.1%

Draw
29.8%

Palermo
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

29%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

28%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ascoli - Palermo Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 12 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Viviano E. (G) 14. Quaranta D. 18. Di Tacchio F. 55. Bellusci G. 8. Giovane S. 40. Bayeye B. J. 5. Gnahore E. 20. Milanese T. 28. Manzari G. 99. Rodriguez P. 90. Mendes P.	22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 37. Mateju A. 5. Lucioni F. 32. Ceccaroni P. 31. Aurelio G. 53. Henderson L. 6. Stulac L. 8. Segre J. 17. Di Francesco F. 9. Brunori M. 10. Di Mariano F.
Substitutes
1. Barosi D. (G) 12. Bolletta L. (G) 33. Botteghin E. 10. Caligara F. 15. D'Uffizi S. 54. Falasco N. 23. Falzerano M. 3. Haveri K. 6. Kraja E. 73. Masini P. 7. Millico V. 30. Nestorovski I.	80. Coulibaly M. 1. Desplanches S. (G) 4. Gomes C. 2. Graves S. 3. Lund K. 7. Mancuso L. 15. Marconi I. 18. Nedelcearu I. 12. Nespola M. (G) 27. Soleri E. 30. Valente N. 20. Vasic A.
Coaches
Viali W.	Corini E.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 1.

Ascoli is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Palermo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Ascoli have a series of guest games.

Palermo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
02.09.23	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Ascoli	3:1 ✺
29.08.23	Ascoli - FeralpiSalò	3:0 ✺
26.08.23	Modena - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Nuova Cosenza - Ascoli	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
12.08.23	Verona - Ascoli	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL
- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
02.09.23	Palermo - FeralpiSalò	3:0 ✺
29.08.23	Reggiana - Palermo	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
24.08.23	Palermo - Melita	5:1 ✺
Italian Serie B
18.08.23	Bari - Palermo	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
12.08.23	Cagliari - Palermo	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.01.23	Ascoli - Palermo	1:2
27.08.22	Palermo - Ascoli	2:3
04.05.19	Ascoli - Palermo	1:2
27.12.18	Palermo - Ascoli	3:0
27.02.18	Palermo - Ascoli	4:1
30.09.17	Ascoli - Palermo	0:0

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