Match Info

Date: 18 December 2021, Saturday


	Ascó		San Cristóbal

	1	X	2
	4.4	2.9	1.82
	4.2	2.88	1.78
	4.2	2.9	1.83
	4.28	2.91	1.87
	4.36	2.9	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (3.63)	2.9 ↑ (2.73)	1.84 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascó
20.8%

Draw
30.8%

San Cristóbal
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

31.8%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

24.2%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

San Cristóbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascó than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Cristóbal than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Cristóbal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ascó - San Cristóbal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Ascó is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Cristóbal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ascó could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

San Cristóbal will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ascó won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ascó won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ascó
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
11.12.21	Pobla de Mafumet - Ascó	0:1 ✺
04.12.21	Ascó - Girona B	1:1 ✺
28.11.21	Manresa - Ascó	2:0 ✺
20.11.21	Ascó - Figueres	0:3 ✺
13.11.21	Vilafranca - Ascó	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTLLL
- CP San Cristóbal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
12.12.21	San Cristóbal - Grama	0:0 ✺
28.11.21	Pobla de Mafumet - San Cristóbal	1:2 ✺
21.11.21	San Cristóbal - Girona B	2:1 ✺
14.11.21	Manresa - San Cristóbal	1:1 ✺
07.11.21	San Cristóbal - Figueres	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
14.04.19	San Cristóbal - Ascó	1:0
17.11.18	Ascó - San Cristóbal	2:4

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