Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 20

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday


	Ashton United		Basford United

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.9	3.1
	1.86	4	3.2
	1.9	3.92	3.28
	1.94	3.96	3.35	Watch
	1.8	4.33	3.2
	1.89	3.74	3.31
	1.86	4	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.99)	3.98 ↑ (3.69)	3.23 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ashton United
48.8%

Draw
22.9%

Basford United
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

24.6%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

23.8%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ashton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Basford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Ashton United - Basford United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+3', 1 - 0, Hardy J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
59', 1 - 1, Richards K. ⚽,
66', 1 - 2, Abdullah M. ⚽,
76', 2 - 2, Newton S. ⚽,
81', 2 - 3, Abdullah M. ⚽,
85', 3 - 3, Bryan T. ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 3, Denton T. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 7 and 13).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ashton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ashton will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ashton won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 1.6:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Ashton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
19.11.24	Ashton United - Guiseley	2:4 ✺
16.11.24	Ashton United - Leek Town	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Stockton Town - Ashton United	1:2 ✺
02.11.24	Hyde United - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Macclesfield Town - Ashton United	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWWTL
- Basford United
English NPL Premier Division
26.11.24	Workington - Basford United	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	Basford United - Prescot Cables	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	St Albans City - Basford United	1:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
12.11.24	Basford United - Stockton Town	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Basford United - Whitby Town	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
09.12.23	Basford United - Ashton United	1:2
15.08.23	Ashton United - Basford United	1:0
12.02.22	Basford United - Ashton United	0:0
06.11.21	Ashton United - Basford United	3:0
07.12.19	Basford United - Ashton United	3:2

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