Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 18

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday


	Workington		Basford United

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.55
	2.33	3.5	2.6
	2.38	3.59	2.57
	2.43	3.67	2.62
	2.36	3.44	2.53
	2.33	3.5	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.31)	3.52 ↑ (3.49)	2.58 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Workington
38.7%

Draw
25.9%

Basford United
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

25.9%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

26%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Workington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Basford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Workington than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Workington - Basford United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, Allen J. ⚽,
58', 2 - 0, Rigg S. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 and 11).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Workington could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Workington won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:9 (average 2.5:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Workington won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:6 (average 2.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Workington
English NPL Premier Division
23.11.24	Mickleover Sports - Workington	1:3 ✺
16.11.24	United of Manchester - Workington	2:2 ✺
09.11.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Workington	3:0 ✺
02.11.24	Workington - Worksop Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Workington - Bamber Bridge	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTLWL
- Basford United
English NPL Premier Division
23.11.24	Basford United - Prescot Cables	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	St Albans City - Basford United	1:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
12.11.24	Basford United - Stockton Town	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Basford United - Whitby Town	3:4 ✺
02.11.24	Warrington Rylands - Basford United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
18.11.23	Basford United - Workington	0:3
09.09.23	Workington - Basford United	5:3
16.02.19	Workington - Basford United	0:3
29.09.18	Basford United - Workington	3:2

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