Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 3

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Broadhurst Park (Manchester) 🌤️ ...


	United of Manchester		Gainsborough Trinity

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.10	2.55
	2.45	3.1	2.55
	2.49	3.27	2.61
	2.54	3.38	2.63	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.55
	2.42	3.24	2.56
	2.45	3.15	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.16)	3.21 ↓ (3.4)	2.57 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United of Manchester
36.7%

Draw
28.2%

Gainsborough Trinity
35.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43%

27.3%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United of Manchester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that United of Manchester's form might have worsened.

Gainsborough Trinity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gainsborough Trinity's recent form is better than expected.

United of Manchester - Gainsborough Trinity Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Preston F. ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, Williams T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Buckley J. 🟨,
79', 0 - 3, Hornshaw G. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, United of Manchester won 3.

United of Manchester is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, United of Manchester won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:19. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, United of Manchester won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Gainsborough	15	9	1	5	31:20	11	28
20	FC United	14	2	5	7	20:26	-6	11

Last Results with these Odds

United of Manchester - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.96%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC United of Manchester
English NPL Premier Division
11.08.26	United of Manchester - Leek Town	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Macclesfield Town - United of Manchester	2:0 ✺
24.07.26	Southport - United of Manchester	2:0 ✺
20.07.26	Trafford - United of Manchester	0:3 ✺
18.07.26	United of Manchester - Salford City	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLWL
- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
11.08.26	Alfreton Town - Gainsborough Trinity	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Bradford Park Avenue	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Halifax Town	2:3 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
25.04.26	Hyde United - Gainsborough Trinity	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Prescot Cables	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
21.02.26	United of Manchester - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1
18.10.25	Gainsborough Trinity - United of Manchester	0:1
22.03.25	Gainsborough Trinity - United of Manchester	0:1
14.01.25	United of Manchester - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1
03.02.24	United of Manchester - Gainsborough Trinity	2:0
02.12.23	Gainsborough Trinity - United of Manchester	1:3
22.04.23	Gainsborough Trinity - United of Manchester	1:2

United of Manchester - Gainsborough Trinity