Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 24

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday


	Ashton United		Hyde United

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.05
	2	3.9	3.2	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.25
	1.97	3.45	3.29
	1.96	3.75	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (1.99)	3.54 ↑ (3.37)	3.2 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ashton United
45.8%

Draw
25.7%

Hyde United
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

26.8%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

25.3%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ashton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Hyde United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hyde United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Ashton United - Hyde United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90', 0 - 1, Kershaw B. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ashton won 1.

Ashton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hyde has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Hyde may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hyde has had a series of home games.

Ashton might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ashton won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.6:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ashton won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Ashton United - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 45.34%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
19.12.25	Prescot Cables - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Bamber Bridge - Ashton United	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Ashton United - Hednesford Town	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Guiseley - Ashton United	4:2 ✺
15.11.25	Ashton United - Morpeth Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWLLW
- Hyde United
English NPL Premier Division
20.12.25	Hyde United - Cleethorpes Town	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Hyde United - Hebburn Town	1:3 ✺
22.11.25	Hyde United - United of Manchester	2:2 ✺
15.11.25	Hyde United - Warrington Town	1:4 ✺
11.11.25	Hednesford Town - Hyde United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
22.02.25	Ashton United - Hyde United	1:1
02.11.24	Hyde United - Ashton United	1:1
01.01.24	Hyde United - Ashton United	2:2
28.08.23	Ashton United - Hyde United	2:1
02.01.23	Ashton United - Hyde United	0:6
29.08.22	Hyde United - Ashton United	0:1
02.04.22	Ashton United - Hyde United	0:3

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