Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 21

Date: 7 January 2025, Tuesday


	Ashton United		Macclesfield Town

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.7	1.7
	3.85	3.85	1.72
	4.04	4.13	1.74	Watch
	4	3.6	1.7
	4.31	3.84	1.65
	3.85	3.85	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↓ (5.46)	3.83 ↓ (4.38)	1.71 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ashton United
22.8%

Draw
23.8%

Macclesfield Town
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

20.7%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

23.2%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ashton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ashton United's performance.

Macclesfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Macclesfield Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ashton United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macclesfield Town than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Macclesfield Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Ashton United - Macclesfield Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ashton will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Macclesfield will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+4', 1 - 0, Baird S. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Macclesfield could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Macclesfield is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ashton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 1:19 (average 0.2:3.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Ashton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
01.01.25	Ashton United - United of Manchester	2:0 ✺
21.12.24	Ashton United - Warrington Rylands	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Morpeth Town - Ashton United	1:4 ✺
30.11.24	Ashton United - Basford United	4:3 ✺
19.11.24	Ashton United - Guiseley	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTWWL
- Macclesfield Town
English NPL Premier Division
04.01.25	Macclesfield Town - Worksop Town	3:1 ✺
01.01.25	Hyde United - Macclesfield Town	2:5 ✺
26.12.24	Macclesfield Town - Leek Town	1:2 ✺
21.12.24	Prescot Cables - Macclesfield Town	2:2 ✺
17.12.24	Bamber Bridge - Macclesfield Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Macclesfield Town - Ashton United	7:1
English NPL Premier Division
10.09.24	Macclesfield Town - Ashton United	1:0
26.03.24	Ashton United - Macclesfield Town	0:2
09.09.23	Macclesfield Town - Ashton United	5:0
English FA Trophy
22.12.15	Macclesfield Town - Ashton United	4:0

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