The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ashton United 26.9%
Draw 25.4%
Worksop Town 47.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
23.9%
41.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.4%
24%
41.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ashton United's form might have worsened.
Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Worksop Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ashton United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Worksop Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ashton United - Worksop Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Burrow J. ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Burrow J. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, Osei D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 1 - 3, Burrow J. ⚽,
88', 2 - 3, Osei D. ⚽,
Preview
One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).
Ashton is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Worksop is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ashton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Ashton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.5:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Ashton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 2:1.5).
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